Wednesday, November 06, 2024

Betting, Gambling

Bets to Take for Wild Card Weekend

We have reached the football equinox. There are six games this time around for Wild Card Weekend and the National Championship for College Football is Monday night. With many games comes many opportunities to place some strategic bets on these games. With this in mind, let’s look at the six games and look at which bets make the most sense for each one.

Colts versus Bills: Over 51.5 Points

This is a high total considering that playoff games generally display better defense and lower scoring games. However, this game is going to be a high scoring game that surpasses this total with two great offenses that will overpower the defenses. Josh Allen has been leading the Bills offense to 50 points in almost every game of the last month. Additionally, the Colts are going to keep their offense balanced with a strong running game and a receiving core that can find favorable matchups. Expect the over to cover with both offenses running up the score.

Rams versus Seahawks: Seahawks -3.5

I’ll make this bet simple for you, do you trust Russell Wilson more or whoever the Rams start at quarterback. Jan 3, 2021; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) runs the ball ahead of San Francisco 49ers defensive tackle D.J. Jones (93) during the second half at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Jared Goff is questionable to play in this game with a thumb injury. Even if Goff does play, there’s no telling how well he can play with a thumb injury still in effect. If Goff can’t play, the Rams will have to turn to John Wolford, who started his first NFL game last week. Regardless of who is quarterbacking the Rams offense, anyone has to feel more confident in Russell Wilson and his playoff pedigree. The Seahawks should win this game and likely cover the spread considering it has fluctuated in the touchdown or less range. We can anticipate the Seahawks winning by double-digits potentially.

Tampa Bay versus Washington: Washington +9

Tampa is heavily favored in this game and likely to win this game. However, the Football Team is getting nine points at home. Washington has the defense, especially the defensive line, to give Tom Brady a tough game. The Bucs will adjust but it will be a long day for their offense. While the Football Team might struggle offensively, they will run the ball and keep the game close. Expect the Football Team to cover the spread considering they are getting nine points in a playoff game that they host.

Ravens versus Titans: Titans Money Line

The Ravens are favored with the expectation that Lamar Jackson will have a revenge game. This game is poised to be a close game with both running games being incredibly difficult to defend. However, the Titans at home are one of the best bets you can take. The Titans are going to turn to Derrick Henry often in this game and, if needed, Ryan Tannehill can find AJ Brown or Corey Davis open underneath. I’m not saying that the Titans are going to win but if you have to make any bets on this game, the Titans money line gives you great odds and is very likely to hit in a pick ’em game.

Bears versus Saints: Saints (-6.5), Over 44.5

The Saints are heavy favorites in this game and rightfully so. This Saints team is a borderline Super Bowl contender while the Bears only happened to make it to the playoffs with an 8-8 record. Even though the Saints are favored by 10 points and should win by that total, we have to be cautious taking bets like those. The Saints have played down to their opponents in the playoffs. In fact, in the past three postseasons, every game they have played in has been decided by one score. To be safe, take the Saints by only a touchdown and parlay it with an alternate total of Over 44.5. Both bets should hit considering we are giving room for error.

Browns versus Steelers: Under 47

This game lost a lot of excitement when the Browns coaching staff got infected with Covid-19. Potential coach of the year, Kevin Stefanski, will have to miss this game and the play-calling will be completely altered. The Steelers are favored by a touchdown, but considering their history of playing down to opponents, I would avoid that bet. However, the Under on 47 points is one of the best bets this weekend. The Steelers offense has not looked good in the recent games while the defense is incredible. The Browns have the offense to put up points but without Stefanski calling the plays, it’s hard to tell if how the offense will play. Expect both offenses to struggle and thus the Under to cover.

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