NFL Week 10 is in the books, and the playoff picture is starting to unfold. In Week 9, everyone claimed that the Bills, Bucs, and Rams were the class of the NFL. Two weeks later and all three of them are fighting for the division. The NFL is back and better than ever. The parity across the league this year has been phenomenal. Even teams like the Jets and Jags are getting upset wins versus top opponents. Respectively, both of their wins against the Bengals and Bills were upsets over the top seed in the AFC at the time.

Overall this NFL season has been one for the ages. So many teams are still alive, fighting for playoff spots in both conferences. Currently, there is not much separation between teams in the Wild Card spots and those on the outside looking in. One thing is for certain. Betting these matchups from Week 11-18 is going to be a battle for the ages. These weeks are what separates the men from the boys. Who will show up when it matters. Sure anyone can get lucky at the beginning of the season and have a hot streak. What really matters is what you do during those cold months, gaining momentum going into the NFL Playoffs. I have been ready all year for this. I have the playoff beard coming in and hoping to resemble one of my favorite quarterbacks ever, Andrew Luck.

Let’s look at where I am at right now for this NFL Season.

Pretty, Pretty, Pretty Good NFL ATS Record

I am going to stay humble because last time I got confident I literally had the worst gambling week in NFL history. Last blog I took picks for Week 9 and went 4-1.

The last time I made blog picks I went 1-4 ATS 🤢

This time 4-1 ATS 🤟

Now I am 16-9 on the season ATS

Gotta keep rolling now, onto Week 10🎲#NFLPicks https://t.co/fGH7UWHIdw

— Peter van Seventer (@PetevanSeventer) November 9, 2021

The picks are here but just as a recap here you go.

Bills -14.5 L

Browns +2.5 W

Chargers -2 W

Cards -1 W

Bears +6.5 W

Honestly, I have one person to thank for this: Rocky Balboa. If you read my last blog you would have seen my Rocky quote. Always remember in sports betting life whatever it may be, “It ain’t about how hard you hit, it’s about how you can get hit and keep moving forward.” Thank you Rocky for helping me achieve the impossible in life, going above 50 percent in sports betting. Now enough living in the past. Lets’s look at this week!

Real Talk About This Week’s Board

Candidly, I really don’t love the board this week. This past week I have been zoning in getting ready for the matchups on Thanksgiving and begging that my fantasy team wakes up to make that playoff push. That being said, I believe I found five great bets for the week. I am going to list them all below and give a couple of bullets for why I like those picks specifically. I used OddShark.com and checked out NFL trends from this season so far to give me some insight while I make these picks. As always, the lines I got were on Bovada.com. The lines could change because I took them on Wednesday night so I am sorry if what I give on here does not reflect the lines on your book.

The Playoff Push Starts Now, Locks For Week 11

Chiefs -2.5 vs Dallas, Pick Chiefs

• 11-1 straight up in last 12 vs NFC opponents
• 4-1 in last 5 games
• Less than a field goal spread
• Mahomes is back in the groove of things after a 5 TD performance and the offense looks dangerous again, click on all cylinders

Packers -2 @ Vikings, Pick Packers

• GB 5-0 ATS last 5
• GB 5-0 striaght up last 5 on road
• Aaron Rodgers has been in the news for the wrong things lately, but I promise after this game it changes. He is the best QB on the best team in the league right now. Don’t over think it. Green Bay by a million

Hawks +2.5 vs Cards, Pick Hawks

• Hawks are 4-2 ATS in last 6 games
• 8-3 in last 11 November games
• Desperation game for Seattle
• I like Russ to play a lot better in this game. He struggled in GB but I think he comes back to his normal playing style at home. I also don’t think Kyler or Hopkins are particularly healthy. Overall, if Kyler is healthy, I like Cards but in this case I think the Hawks make him one dimensional and not let him make any plays on his feet. The 12th man will be out and the Hawks are desperate for that final wild card spot. Take Seattle

Browns -11.5 vs Lions, Pick Browns

• 72 percent of the public is on Detroit
• Browns are 6-1 in last 7 vs NFC
• Browns are going up most likely against a back up QB, Tim Boyle
• Baker and company got smashed on Sunday vs the Pats. Luckily for them there is literally no team worse in the NFL than the Lions. Nick Chubb is off the COVID list too and I expect him to run wild againt Detroit.

Saints +1.5 @ Eagles, Pick Saints

• Saints are 16-4 in last 20 games straight up on the road
• Overall I think Philly has been a pleasant suprise this year. I do believe way too many people are overrating them though and I expect Sean Payton to have a good gameplan on offense after a close loss versus the Titans on the road. Saints are a good football team and an underdog. Don’t get fooled by the line, I love the Saints a lot in this one.

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