This is the 25th of 32 Ceilings and Floors, covering each NFL team’s QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs. We begin the NFC South with the Atlanta Falcons. In case you missed it, here is the breakdown for the Minnesota Vikings. (Depth Charts courtesy of footballguys.com)

Ceilings and Floors: Quarterback

QB1: Matt Ryan

CEILING: 39 TDs, 5,000 yards, and awareness of the fact that the best WR in the league is on your team. Since 2012, he has not had a completion percentage lower than 64.7 percent, and its been since 2010 that he threw for less than 4,000 yards.

FLOOR: 25 TDs, 3,600 yards, and awareness that your replacement is coming sooner rather than later. Two of the last three years, Matty Ice has had an interception percentage higher than his career average. In those same years, he also posted TD percentage rates below his career average. Last year also marked a career-high in sacks, and he isn’t getting more athletic by the year.

PREDICTION: Ryan has angered me in a way that I struggle to overcome. I had massive exposure to Julio earlier in his career, and Ryan seems to forget he is on his team in the red zone. It infuriated me before I traded Julio in every format. Ryan should do more of the same, but his clock is ticking every year. 30 TDs, 4,300 yards, and Matt Ryan remembers Julio Jones is a generational talent.

QB2: Matt Schaub

CEILING: Matt Schaub is still kicking, huh? Pretty impressive, all things considered. If Ryan goes down during preseason for the year, Schaub can throw 25 TDs and 3,800 yards. If he also remembers Julio Jones plays for the Falcons.

FLOOR: Schaub is kicking. He works on onside kicks all year, and is called upon in Week 17 to keep their season alive, but botches it hard.

PREDICTION: Schaub is not the worst option as a backup, but he might be the oldest. Don’t expect much other than a check for $12 on your birthday and sage advice.

QB3: Kurt Benkert

CEILING: I mean, there is no chance this guy plays in 2020, so his ceiling consists of getting an autograph from Julio Jones.

FLOOR: His floor consists of multiple doses of Preparation H, because the bench can cause serious issues if sat upon too long.

PREDICTION: He is QB3 for this year, and along with zero stats and zero upside, is only draftable by die-hard Falcon fans. You don’t need a permit to bust the chops of anyone in your league who drafts him. It’s public domain.

Ceilings and Floors: Running Back

RB1: Todd Gurley

CEILING: Gurley eclipses 2,000 total yards, 17 TDs, and his knee magically heals from using Elk Horn extract. Or moose. Or jackalope. He set a career-low in touches in 2019, but still managed 14 total TDs. He had a nose for the end zone, as evidenced by his 70 total TDs in 73 total games.

FLOOR: Gurley’s knees disappear faster than Michael Vick‘s endorsements. Into thin air. He flirted with career lows in yards per touch, and his total scrimmage yards were a career-low by a large margin. His health is a major concern.

PREDICTION: Gurley is not finished yet, but his health is so concerning that I believe both his ceiling and floor are potentially happening. I am going to pretend he is healthy, and I’ll take 13 total TDs and 1,400 yards, but my stock in Gurley is low. I only like him if the price is right. Bob Barker told me to say that.

RB2: Ito Smith, RB3: Brian Hill, RB4: Qadree Ollison

CEILING: 8 total TDs, 900 yards, if Gurley goes down and they become part of a committee.

FLOOR: Gurley is healthy, these guys aren’t really very good, and they score 1 TD along with 300 yards rushing.

PREDICTION: Gurley screws up all my predictions for the RBs, as I honestly don’t know how healthy he will be in 2020. Use the ceilings and floors, and guess for yourself, because guessing is all we have. Anyone who says otherwise, stop trusting them. Gurley should receive the Dirty Bird share of touches this year, even if Jamal Anderson comes out of retirement.

Ceilings and Floors: Wide Receiver

WR1: Julio Jones

CEILING: Julio is the most gifted WR I have seen in my 32 years of living. Matt Ryan remembers that, and Julio scores 16 TDs along with 2,200 yards. He has seen no less than 129 targets since 2012.

FLOOR: Julio Jones still plays with the real Matt Ryan, and scores 3 TDs along with 1,300 yards. He has averaged 5.75 TDs per year for the last four years, and despite his consistency in other areas, his TD deficiencies limit his overall production.

PREDICTION: If you can’t tell, I have a bone to pick with Matty Icicle. He must be giving the cold shoulder to Julio, because why has Julio only scored 10 TDs once in his career? I like 6 TDs and 1,500 yards because Ryan must be competing in a fantasy league where his biggest challenger has Julio. Pete Rose, check this out man.

WR2: Calvin Ridley

CEILING: 1,200 yards, 11 TDs, and elite WR production as WR2. His yards per touch jumped from 12.1 to 13.8 in year two, and for the second year in a row, he scored more TDs than Julio.

FLOOR: 850 yards, 6 TDs. Julio finally finds the end zone, and Ridley suffers from the red zone targets Julio siphons.

PREDICTION: Ridley has consistently produced two years straight, and offers a floor that many players would love to have. This offense should be generating points once again, and Ridley should continue benefiting from having Julio attracting the oppositions best cover man. I see 1,000 yards and 7 TDs for Ridley this year.

WR3: Russell Gage

CEILING: Gage improved in 2019 in many categories, but his over 800 percent increase in touches suggests Atlanta tried involving him more. If he can become a legitimate threat as a WR3, 5 TDs and 700 yards seems possible. Injuries would assist in this.

FLOOR: One stat I find concerning is Gage’s yards per touch, which dropped nearly two yards from 10.5 to 8.6, and 53 touches equated to only 1 total TD. His floor is 1 TD and 400 yards. The two guys above him are just way more dangerous with the football.

PREDICTION: Gage is nothing special. None of his numbers imply fantasy excellence regardless of situation. WR3 seems to be his career ceiling. I will take 2 TDs and 550 yards.

WR4: Justin Hardy

CEILING: Hardy has 9 total TDs in 95 total touches. He wins the WR3 position, is given more than 21 touches in 2020, and responds with 4 TDs along with 450 yards.

FLOOR: Hardy has only ever had between 14 and 21 touches in his five-year career. Playing with Julio must be frustrating for young WRs looking for touches, but Hardy will be 29 and he has shown little in terms of fantasy production so far. Zero TDs, 190 yards.

PREDICTION: Hardy has been weirdly consistent in his career as a minimal touch, decent output option for Atlanta. He has WR3 potential, but his age and lack of real growth have made him an afterthought in fantasy. I like 1 TD and 220 yards,

WR5: Laquon Treadwell, WR6: Christian Blake, WR7: Olamide Zaccheaus, WR8: Brandon Powell

CEILING: WR3, with minimal fantasy outlook. Only once in the last five years have any WR3 or lower posted over 500 yards, and 500 yards and 3 TDs seem like a ceiling none of these guys will probably reach without injuries.

FLOOR: Laquon Treadwell’s career. Don’t make me walk you through that, it is both painful and sad.

PREDICTION: There is no real opportunity barring injury for any of these guys to absorb any significant targets in this offense. Unless Dan Quinn has your cell phone number, trust nobody who claims any sort of relevance here.

Ceilings and Floors: Tight End

TE1: Hayden Hurst

CEILING: Hurst has averaged 11.6 yards per touch in both of his first two seasons. He also scores a TD once every 14.66 touches. Both of those numbers are higher than what Austin Hooper‘s numbers were in Atlanta. More touches for him, please. If Hurst gets the 75 touches Hooper had last year, that translates to 5 TDs and 900 yards rounded out. I think his ceiling is 6 TDs and 900 yards.

FLOOR: Hurst averaged 22 touches per year in his first two seasons, and the superior weapons around him keep his touches this low or lower. 2 TDs, 250 yards.

PREDICTION: Hurst could become a viable TE option if he finds the opportunities, but I believe he will be quite TD dependent in fantasy. 5 TDs, 500 yards.

TE2: Jaeden Graham

CEILING: He scored on over 11 percent of his touches in his first year, along with a 16.6 career yard per touch average. 4 TDs, along with 600 yards receiving. He also participates in dancing with the stars with Ray Lewis.

FLOOR: He had 9 touches last year. Hurst is TE1 in Baltimore. Zero TDs, 120 yards.

PREDICTION: Graham will have to earn his touches the hard and long way, which is exactly what she said. She also said 1 TD, 300 yards. Why would she say that?

TE3: Khari Lee, TE4: Carson Meier, TE5: Jared Pinkney

CEILING: If Jaeden Graham only gets 9 touches, what kind of ceiling could these fellas have? Once I find out what she says, I will update this, but 1 TD and 100 yards seems generous.

FLOOR: Alge Crumpler rolls over in his grave and catches exactly the same amount of TDs as these guys.

PREDICTION: Alge Crumpler might catch more TDs in his grave than these guys do in the city where players are supposed to play.

What’s up ATLiens! Enjoy this article? Follow me on Twitter to get updates when new content is released @realryanhicks, including the rest of my Ceilings and Floors. Up next is The Carolina Panthers. Also check out what else Belly Up Fantasy is cooking up, and follow @BellyUpFantasy for all your Fantasy Sports needs.