This is the first of 32 Ceilings and Floors, covering each NFL team’s QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs. We will start in the AFC East, with the Buffalo Bills. (Depth Charts courtesy of footballguys.com)

Quarterbacks

QB1: Josh Allen

CEILING: Top three QB. Josh Allen possesses many of the tools you look for in a franchise QB. He has a cannon, he can make all the throws, and he is a phenomenal athlete as well. You could be looking at a guy who throws for 3,500 yards and 30 TDs while rushing for another 700 yards and 10 TDs, with less than 10 INTs. Sounds dreamy. Dream away, it is called fantasy football, after all. Fantasize about the possibilities for a 6’5”, 237 lb. athlete who plays quarterback, who just added a premier receiver to his arsenal. Oh, and he is turning 24 on May 21st, so the best is yet to come. Happy early birthday Josh! Bring your fantasy owners, and all Bills fans, to the promised land.

FLOOR: We have seen the floor in 2019 (3,089 yards, 20 TDs passing; 510 yards, 9 TDs rushing). That’s pretty dang solid, all things considered. Diggs can’t fix the accuracy issues (58.8 completion percentage) alone, however. If defenses start figuring him out before there is an improvement in that area, Buffalo peaks along with Allen. Then maybe Jake Fromm starts getting chants in the stands when progress clearly isn’t happening.

PREDICTION: Josh Allen is improving in virtually every category, I see no reason to expect anything else in 2020. I am all about him in redraft and dynasty leagues.

QB2: Jake Fromm

CEILING: Alex Smith in his prime.

FLOOR: Lower than Limbo allows.

PREDICTION: This guy could be a serviceable backup for some team. Maybe Buffalo thinks he is that for them. He is viable in fantasy as a handcuff for Allen only, in both dynasty and redraft. Don’t get excited.

QB3: Matt Barkley

CEILING: He is not good.

FLOOR: He bags groceries. Do not draft, Fromm has taken over QB2.

PREDICTION: Surrender your fantasy credentials if you draft this guy. Please don’t do it, life is too short to have Matt Barkley on your team.

Ceilings and Floors: Running Backs

RB1: Devin Singletary

CEILING: Top 10 RB. Singletary averaged 5.1 yards per rushing attempt in his rookie campaign. Despite his lackluster receiving ability, the presence of Allen and the weapons around him should give him ample room to create against defenses. He only played in 12 games last year, starting 8. A full schedule should push his pedestrian rookie numbers higher. If he can manage more than 12.6 rushes per game, he could eclipse 1,500 all-purpose yards while also adding 10 to 12 TDs. His youth should allow a large workload, and Buffalo should be good in 2020.

FLOOR: His rookie year was a bust fantasy-wise, Allen dominates goal line looks once again, and Singletary is pushed out by rookie third-round pick Zack Moss. Two years from now, he and Trent Richardson are playing in the SCFL (Second Chance Football League), where he dominates enough to convince people that even though he has done nothing against elite talent, he should be good. Later, he is mentioned in a 30 for 30 about how he changed his life for the better, and now runs a recycling center in downtown Buffalo.

PREDICTION: Solid but unspectacular year in which Singletary is the lead back of a committee, finishing as a viable second back option in fantasy.

RB2: Zack Moss

CEILING: Singletary goes down, Moss competes for Rookie of the Year with a 1,300 all-purpose yard, 12 TD year rolling with Buffalo’s explosive offense. His 5.7 Y/A career average translates into the NFL, and we are looking at the next Marshawn Lynch.

FLOOR: Singletary breaks out, Moss is relegated to giving him breathers, and he lucks out into one game where he goes off in a blowout.

PREDICTION: Useful as a handcuff to Singletary, Moss will be ready if Singletary falters. The potential for serviceable fantasy stats is there if the opportunity presents itself.

RB3: TJ Yeldon

CEILING: Working out of the backfield as a virtual WR, Yeldon excels as a change of pace back and breaks a few long screens for TDs . Six to eight of them in total. Pair that with nearly 1,000 yards total offense. Yeldon emerges as a weekly streaming option, providing quality depth in your backfield while offering little in terms of consistency.

FLOOR: He is hanging out with Richardson and Eddie Lacy reminiscing about the good ole days.

PREDICTION: Don’t draft him unless your RB depth is in dire need. Regardless of ceilings and floors, he won’t give you anything.

RB4: Taiwan Jones

CEILING: The Bills lose three running backs, and Jones gets to backup the guys they sign to replace them.

FLOOR: Jones doesn’t get to back up anybody.

PREDICTION: Jones backs up his playbook to the cloud for his scrapbook about when he was in the NFL.

Wide Receivers

WR1: Stefon Diggs

CEILING: Stefon Diggs instantly meshes with Allen, forming a potent duo that takes the NFL by storm. 1,300 receiving yards and 11 TDs make him an elite option in all formats, and the Bills face the Vikings in the Super Bowl. Diggs catches an improbable TD as time expires to vault Buffalo over the Vikings. Diggs then asks Kirk Cousins how he likes that, and reminds Adam Thielen that he can’t do much of anything without him. After, he makes another appearance on Family Feud and somehow outdoes his first appearance.

FLOOR: He never gets on the same page with Allen. The diva stamp is tattooed permanently on his forehead. He skates by with 800 yards and 4 TDs. The New York media remembers Buffalo is in New York and ravages him. Alternatively, Allen fights with him, and Diggs is sidelined for 6 weeks with a broken jaw. He also never returns to Family Feud again.

PREDICTION: Diggs is a proven commodity, and 1,100 yards and 9 TDs are a good bet for this star in this division.

WR2: John Brown

CEILING: Stefon Diggs draws the opponents CB1, and John Brown feasts to the tune of 1,100 yards and 9 TDs. Smokey then appears in multiple commercials about how only you can stop forest fires.

FLOOR: 2019 was an outlier due to no real WR1 in Buffalo, and Diggs eats into his targets in a way that makes him difficult to start, just like he has been most of his career. He is then arrested on felony arson charges.

PREDICTION: Serviceable WR depth to the tune of 900 yards, 5 TDs, and two big games that will probably win someone a fantasy league.

WR3: Cole Beasley

CEILING: Cole Beasley produces 800 yards, 8 TDs. He also produces a whole bunch of articles stating that he outpaced CeeDee Lamb this year, which is somehow why the Cowboys don’t make the playoffs. Beasley proves himself as an elite slot option with all the space afforded him by Diggs and Brown, and feasts underneath all the defenses afraid of Allen’s arm strength

FLOOR: Who is Cole Beasley? He only averages 6.0 yards per reception, gains almost no first downs, and is vying for my job come 2021.

PREDICTION: Serviceable NFL player with minimal fantasy impact. He is useful as a waiver pickup if injuries cause depth concerns, or as depth for a shallow WR corps.

WR4: Gabriel Davis

CEILING: WR injuries hurt the Bills, and Davis is forced into action early, performing admirably. 700 yards, 6 TDs.

FLOOR: Davis rarely plays, doesn’t make the transition to the NFL smoothly, and his only end zone visits involve being taped to the goal post by hazing vets.

PREDICTION: I don’t see much action for him, but he offers more value long-term when Beasley inevitably is traded or released. I don’t expect much in 2020.

WR5: Isaiah McKenzie, WR6: Isaiah Hodgins

CEILING: Not high, too many weapons ahead of them

FLOOR: Not high either

PREDICTION: You can’t handle the truth. These are draft and stash candidates in dynasty only. Their ceilings and floors won’t factor in to fantasy much this season.

WR7: Robert Foster, WR8: Duke Williams, WR9: Andre Roberts

CEILING: One of them catches one TD in a garbage time victory

FLOOR: None of them have any catches, all year.

PREDICTION: Zero percent ownership in all formats of fantasy football. Invest your time more wisely, ceilings and floors don’t matter for these guys.

Ceilings and Floors: Tight Ends

TE1: Dawson Knox

CEILING: Top three TE. Watch this guy, he is a big play waiting to happen. With an unofficial 40 time of 4.57, he possesses the size and skills teams dream about. His rookie year was only a taste of his potential. Allen utilizes his weapons efficiently to the tune of 900 yards receiving and 11 TDs. If you can’t tell by those stats, I am insanely high on Knox.

FLOOR: Dawson Knox circa 2019 (388 yards, 2 TDs).

PREDICTION: I am intoxicated by his ability, so I am predicting 8 TDs and 800 yards, and the only reason I am doing that is because predicting his ceiling would make me look silly. But yeah, I am getting as many shares of him as possible.

TE2: Tyler Kroft

CEILING: 6 TDs, 700 yards, because Knox became a Crossfit instructor.

FLOOR: 3 TDs, 300 yards, because 2 TE sets make sense for Buffalo.

PREDICTION: The only accurate prediction I have is that he won’t be on any of my fantasy teams.

TE3: Lee Smith

CEILING: Special Teams.

FLOOR: Special K salesman.

PREDICTION: Relegated to specials with reporters about how the Bills are taking over the AFC East.

TE4: Tommy Sweeney, TE5: Jason Croom

CEILING: Scout team rep guys.

FLOOR: Practice squad pizza guys.

PREDICTION: Fantasy team no-no.

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