This is the 28th of 32 Ceilings and Floors, covering each NFL team’s QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs. We finish the NFC South with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In case you missed it, here is the breakdown for the New Orleans Saints. Depth Charts courtesy of footballguys.com)

Ceilings and Floors: Quarterback

QB1: Tom Brady

CEILING: Brady has fun with his new toys, the offense is built to suit him, and he gives us vintage Tom Brady. 39 TDs, 5.000 yards, and TB12 take Tampa Bay to the Super Bowl.

FLOOR: Brady’s Y/A have dropped for three consecutive years. His completion percentage has dropped for four straight. Brady has begun declining, but the fanboys can’t see it. 23 TDs, 3.900 yards, and the Bucs miss the playoffs, prompting retirement rumors all off-season.

PREDICTION: Brady has not lost his football IQ. His physical skills may diminish, but his strengths were never physical. With these weapons, I see Brady throwing 30 TDs along with 4,400 yards, but the decline may begin to show it’s ugly head as the season progresses. He is still very viable in redraft due to his excellent situation. This is the best WR tandem he has had by a large margin.

QB2: Blaine Gabbert

CEILING: Brady would have to go down, and I think Tampa brings someone in if he does. Gabbert’s 56.2 career completion percentage leaves his ceiling at backing up whoever Tampa brings in to salvage the season. If the Bucs win the Super Bowl, Gabbert gets a ring, so that could be something of a ceiling.

FLOOR: QB3 for the Bucs, but he is basically a below-average NFL QB. 48 TDs, 47 INTs, and a 13-35 W-L record mean he is, well, not good. He isn’t playing.

PREDICTION: He isn’t gonna play, but Brady wiall give him a pair of Uggs, and tips on how to do his hair.

QB3: Ryan Griffin

CEILING: In 2019, Tampa Bay brought in Ryan Griffin, who had not played in the NFL since 2014, where he recorded 0 stats during his one year in New Orleans. He is 30, He is living his ceiling currently by being on the roster.

FLOOR: He is cut. And goes back to whatever job he held for five years before last year.

PREDICTION: He ends up as QB3 because he is never gonna play anyways and his contract is not large. For a football player, at least.

Ceilings and Floors: Running Back

RB1: Ronald Jones

CEILING: Jones improved in his second season, posting 6 TDs and 1,033 scrimmage yards. He continues improving into year three, the offense opens up the field for Jones. Jones solidifies his hold on the starting job, scoring 9 TDs to go along with 1,500 total yards. He had a 5.1 Y/T average and displayed some potential in the passing game, recording 31 receptions for 309 yards in 2019.

FLOOR: Jones has peaked, Vaughn receives more touches, and Jones is relegated to a backup RB for the remainder of his career, which is not long for RBs. 4 TDs and 700 scrimmage yards.

PREDICTION: Jones is going to benefit from the addition of Brady, who has made studs out of countless backs, mostly in the receiving game. I expect his catches go up in 2020, and we see 7 TDs and 1,200 total yards.

RB2: Ke’Shawn Vaughn

CEILING: Vaughn becomes a superior pass blocker to Jones, and forces his way into the most touches out of the backfield. With a career Y/T average of 6.2 (against SEC defenses at Vanderbilt, it was 6.8), Vaughn could become successful in this offense. 9 TDs, 1,400 total yards.

FLOOR: Vaughn struggles to adjust to the NFL, Jones continues improving, and we only get 2 TDs and 400 yards from the rookie. Some concerns over no elite traits were raised about Vaughn pre-draft.

PREDICTION: Vaughn proves to be a serviceable option for the Buccaneers, spelling Jones and pushing for around 35 percent of the touches at RB. I see 5 TDs and 1,000 total yards.

RB3: Dare Ogunbowale

CEILING: Ogunbowale had 46 targets and 35 catches in 2019, adding 11 rushes and 2 TDs. He emerges as the passing threat out of the backfield for Tampa and scores 4 TDs along with 700 total yards.

FLOOR: The arrival of Vaughn makes Ogunbowale get less touches than his 46 total in 2019. He only rushed for 17 yards on 11 carries, and the two guys ahead of him are more talented. Zero TDs, 90 total yards.

PREDICTION: Ogunbowale does not receive many snaps due to Vaughn and Jones absorbing the vast majority of the touches. I can see 1 TD and 150 total yards.

RB4: T.J. Logan, RB5: Raymond Calais

CEILING: Non-existent. These guys will not get a real run. If the aforementioned guys all go down, Tampa brings in outside help. The window with Brady is small. Both make the roster as special-teamers.

FLOOR: One of them is let go, and the other is a third-string water distribution engineer. Momma said foozball is for the Devil.

PREDICTION: Foozball isn’t for the Devil momma, and alligators are just ornery because of their medulla oblongota. Both true, momma, get with the times. Everyone loves The Waterboy anyways, and both guys make the roster. They can do it.

Ceilings and Floors: Wide Receiver

WR1: Mike Evans

CEILING: Mike Evans has only missed six games in his six-year career. He has never had less than 1,000 yards receiving, he has a career 15.7 yards per catch average, and his last two years that number was above 17. He has averaged 8 TDs a year for his career. His ceiling is 14 TDs, 1,600 yards.

FLOOR: I see no conceivable way Evans scores less than 5 TDs or has less than 1,000 yards.

PREDICTION: Evans is a surefire every week. He has consistently put up the numbers you want to see and is entering his age 27 season. 10 TDs, 1,400 yards.

WR2: Chris Godwin

CEILING: Godwin has averaged 15.1 yards per catch in his three-year career. He has averaged 8 TDs and almost 1,100 yards in the last two years. and his targets have increased every year he has been in the league. His ceiling is 14 TDs, 1,500 yards.

FLOOR: Godwin’s floor seems very safe. 5 TDs and 1,000 yards also seem like a reasonable floor. These guys are good.

PREDICTION: Godwin is 24 and theoretically still improving. This is the best WR duo in the league. I still see Evans as the WR1, 8 TDs, 1,200 yards. Godwin is going to have a hard time increasing his touches dramatically due to the talent surrounding him.

WR3: Tyler Johnson

CEILING: Johnson puts in the extra work, develops a rapport with Brady, and becomes an instant contributor. The two guys outside of him demand so much defensive attention, he torches the constant mismatches he is gifted. He winds up seeing nearly the same amount of targets as the other two, and scores 8 TDs along with 1,100 yards.

FLOOR: Evans, Godwin, Gronk, Howard, and Brate soak up the vast majority of targets, and Johnson struggles to produce in year one. 1 TD, 300 yards.

PREDICTION: He averaged 15.5 yards per catch in college, and he scored 25 TDs and had 2,486 yards over his last two seasons in Minnesota. I like his potential, and his situation should allow him to grow and learn without too much responsibility. I like 4 TDs and 600 yards.

WR4: Scott Miller, WR5: Justin Watson, WR6: Bryant Mitchell

CEILING: Miller will win the WR4 battle, and only becomes relevant if an injury occurs. By relevant I mean 3 TDs, 400 yards. The other two will be lucky to record 100 scrimmage yards, even with an injury. The addition of Gronk plus the talent around them makes giving them any targets nonsensical.

FLOOR: Miller has one catch for five yards. The other two have accounted for half the special teams penalties.

PREDICTION: None of these guys are fantasy relevant. Miller has upside as a very low-end flex option if one of the three above him misses time.

Ceilings and Floors: Tight End

TE1: Rob Gronkowski

CEILING: Gronk is back and the year off let him heal up enough so he comes back fresh. Brady sticks with the familiar, and Gronk catches 70 balls. 11 TDs, 900 yards. 11 epic Gronk spikes. We all know what Gronk is capable of. If he is healthy, he could come back and be a force in fantasy.

FLOOR: Gronk got out of shape, had too much fun, and is a shell of his former self. Expecting 16 games is a hard sell, since he has not done that since 2011. He could suck now, let’s be real. 2 TDs, 400 yards.

PREDICTION: I love me some Gronk, he is fun to watch play. I want him to do well. I hung on to him in one league! This really could go either way, but I am expecting 7 TDs and 800 yards for Gronk in 2020.

TE2: O.J. Howard

CEILING: Howard finally breaks out with Brady at the helm, and surpasses Gronk for targets. 9 TDs, 900 yards, and uncontested TE1 status in Tampa.

FLOOR: He regressed in 2019, his 13.5 Y/C was over 3 yards lower than his previous two campaigns 16.6 Y/C. Gronk is going to eat more of his targets, and the WRs are special. Howard continues his regression, scoring 1 TD along with 300 yards.

PREDICTION: Howard is talented, but he disappointed in 2019. A bounce-back campaign seems likely, although his target share will not be very high. I like 4 TDs, 600 yards. Gronk’s missing time could push him closer to his ceiling.

TE3: Cameron Brate

CEILING: Brate spells Gronk and Howard, recording 4 TDs along with 400 yards.

FLOOR: Brate sees less than 15 targets, and is reduced to fantasy irrelevance. He has been declining. His Y/C has decreased three years in a row, form 12.3, to 9.6, to 8.6 in 2019. That is not a good trend.

PREDICTION: Brate is irrelevant for fantasy purposes. He has shown to be talented, but there just won’t be any touches heading his way. The Gronk signing executed his fantasy potential. Zero TDs, 150 yards.

TE4: Antony Auclair, TE5: Tanner Hudson

CEILING: Three talented TEs are on this roster. Auclair has 10 career touches in three years before Gronk arrived, and Hudson had two catches in his first year in Tampa. Gronk, Howard, and even Brate are all arguably better blockers as well, so these guys even seeing the field is their ceiling. I may just skip the floor.

FLOOR: I can’t help myself. Both are cut. They wind up selling watches for a watch company, which goes out of business. Hudson decides to apply as an intern for a tech company. Auclair joins him, they room together and have crazy adventures, before getting the job! This almost sounds like a movie, and what a fun floor.

PREDICTION: It was a movie. Neither of these guys play any offensive snaps and are used for special teams.

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