Thursday, November 21, 2024

Betting, Featured, Gambling

College Football Big Bets for This Week

College Football is one of the hardest sports to win from a betting standpoint. The unpredictability, the lack of knowledge by the majority of fans, and of course, the differences in style of play. With this in mind, College Football is incredibly fun to watch after placing a bet on the game of choice. Hopefully, with some research, you will also win some College Football big bets. Here are some of the wagers to consider taking for this week in College Football.

Over/Under

Baylor-Iowa State Over 47.5

Baylor vs Iowa State: College Football Big Bets

For College Football standards, 47.5 is an incredibly low total. Anyone who watches the Big 12 is likely scratching their head over this total considering how high scoring the conference games tend to be. Iowa State is currently averaging 32 points per game. This is including 52 in last week’s victory to move their record to 4-2. Baylor is struggling this season to keep the momentum from last season’s bounce-back year with a 1-3 record. Yet, Baylor is scoring 26 points per game and allowing 25 on defense. The odds are probably hinting towards an Iowa State blowout in which Baylor can’t move the ball but we should expect the points to pile up, even if Iowa State has a comfortable lead.

Iowa State, from an offensive standpoint, is one of the tougher teams to defend in the Big 12. While not known as an offensive juggernaut, Iowa State brings the nightmare to defenses with a 6-6 tight end in Charlie Kolar, and a 6-7 tight end in Chase Allen. Quarterback Brock Purdy has also developed into one of the better quarterbacks in the conference and can be expected to make the throws necessary throughout the game. Iowa State will likely clear the 30 point mark on Saturday. The question is if Baylor can keep pace and put at more than double digits on the board (I would like my chances).

Arizona-Utah Under 58.5

Utah lost a lot of players to the NFL and graduation in the off-season. The list of stars includes Tyler Huntley, Zach Moss, Bradley Anea, Leki Fotu, Terrell Burgess, and Julian Blackmon. Yet somehow, the oddsmakers believe that Utah is going to run up the score on Arizona billing them as 14 point favorites. The high total has to be relying on two things. One, Arizona was bad last year, especially on defense (allowing 35.8 points per game), making them vulnerable to a rebuilding Utah offense. Two, Utah’s defense is going to struggle in the first game in which they try to replace some of the significant gamechangers.

For a conference that has heavily shifted towards defense recently, plus the lack of knowledge in the rebuilding Utah, it’s hard seeing the high total is surpassed. Utah will struggle in their first game of the season. But they will still be able to handily beat the subpar Arizona program. As for the 58.5 spread to go over, you might have hope that Utah scores close to 45 by themselves.

Intriguing but be Cautious

Michigan (-2.5) vs. Indiana

It’s been three years since Michigan lost back-to-back regular-season games (they tend to lose bowl games after losing to Ohio State quite frequently). Jim Harbaugh has also never begun a season 0-2 in his tenure at Michigan. A loss would instantly place Harbaugh’s job in doubt and after a loss against the lowly Michigan State expect Michigan to take this game handily.

The reason to be concerned is the uncertainty of Indiana’s pleasant surprise beginning to their season. Indiana is 2-0 after the upset of Penn State in overtime (36-35) followed by a two-score victory against Rutgers. Everyone is likely asking is if Indiana is just riding a hot streak and poised to cool off or if they are going to be one of the top teams in the Big 10. This game is poised to be a pick ’em game with the line favoring Michigan only by 2.5 points. Expect Michigan to win in a one-score game but by at least a field goal or more.

Georgia (-3) vs. Florida

Georgia vs Florida: College Fotoball Big Bets

Georgia has frankly been dominant in this rivalry the past three years, winning two of the last three games by at least two scores. Georgia is also one of the best programs and has little to no flaws on its roster. The Bulldogs fell apart against Alabama, who is arguably one of the best in the nation. Yet, Georgia has beaten everyone handily including two top 20 opponents in Auburn and Tennessee.

So why are they only favored by 3 points? Well for starters, Florida is also one of the best in the nation with a similar blueprint for success as Georgia. Dan Mullen is a great coach, Kyle Trask is a reliable quarterback, and the defense is one of the best in the SEC. Florida also only played four games this season with the facility being shut down from Covid-19 for a significant amount of time. Florida leaves us with unpredictability from the lack of games that can either help or hurt the Gators. I would believe that Georgia can win this game and do so easily. If you can find an alternate spread for this game I would highly advise taking it in favor of Georgia.

Favorites to Bet on

Oklahoma (-10) vs. Kansas

Oklahoma looked awful to start the season, losing two of their first three games to essentially end their bid at the College Football Playoff. Since the early losses, Oklahoma has bounced back and looks just as good as any year. Spencer Rattler has continued to grow into the quarterback that he was expected to be and he has slid right into the air-raid offense of Lincoln Riley.

Expect Oklahoma to potentially run the table this season and continue to dominate their conference. The Kansas Jayhawks have yet to win a game and the Les Miles hope appears non-existent. Oklahoma only being favored by ten points and that seems like an ideal line to take this week.

Clemson (-5.5) vs. Notre Dame

Clemson is rarely favored by only 5.5 points. This is understandable when they have been the best program over the past decade and have a relatively easy schedule. Even with the presumptive number one pick, Trevor Lawrence being out for this game, the 5.5 line still looks like a rare opportunity to bet on Clemson. The offense looked far less potent last week and the struggles almost cost Clemson the game against Boston College. However, anyone that watched that game knows that backup quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei struggled in the early going but picked up the offense in the second half.

Brent-Venables-Clemson
Brett Venables leads one of the most talented defenses in the nation. Clemson might surrender a lot of points to Notre Dame but expect the defense to step up when needed.

Notre Dame is one of the best programs in the nation. Brian Kelly has been the consistent head coach in Notre Dame that guarantees the program will win at least 9 games every year. The gap in talent is still obvious though. Clemson is by far the better team and should win this game by at least a touchdown.

Underdogs to Bet on

Stanford (+10) vs. Oregon

Let’s start by looking at the key pieces that Oregon is going to have to replace for the upcoming year. They lost a lot of their talent to the NFL and most importantly, lost the star Left Tackle Penei Sewell who opted out of the season to prepare for the NFL. Oregon is going to struggle in this game as they try to find the younger players and their identity early on. Oregon is the favorite to emerge as champions from the Pac 12. They were going to do so behind a good running game and a better offensive line. The big question for the Ducks early on is if they can survive the loss of Sewell to see their offense take off.

Now we turn to Stanford to justify this being a closer game than one would think. Stanford fell off the map last season when they lost their last four games to finish the season 4-8. Aside from Stanford being well coached and poised for a bounce-back year, it’s easy to forget that half of the games that Stanford played in were decided by 10 points or fewer. Expect Oregon to win but not decisively.

Arkansas vs. Tennessee (money line +104)

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This game has emerged as a game that the oddsmakers have been contempt with declaring a pick ’em game. Tennessee is a 1.5 point favorite and it implies that the game can easily go either way. Arkansas is 2-3 but has been hit with an incredibly difficult schedule. Four of their five games have been against ranked opponents so far. Tennessee appeared to be competitive to start the season, but have lost their last three games and are currently 2-3.

Considering how thin the margin is with the two teams, taking Arkansas with the money line would be the right move. The game is in Fayetteville and Arkansas played competitively against programs that are better than Tennessee.

*All regular lines are via Vegasinsider.com and alternate spreads are via Fanduel Sports Book.

Check out or other college football posts, or head over to Belly Up Fantasy for some great betting articles.