Tuesday, November 05, 2024

Betting

MLB Best Bets 7/26/22

Happy Tuesday, Ladies and Gentlemen, and welcome back to another best bet article from yours truly. We went 1-1 on our first MLB best bet article, and we are looking to go 2-0 today. I got two best bets with a full game bet and a first five-inning bet on today’s slate. With that being said, here are my two MLB best bets for the Tuesday, July 26th slate of games.

Atlanta Braves -125

050622 Atlanta: Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Spencer Strider delivers to a Milwaukee Brewers batter during the third inning at Truist Park on Friday, May 6, 2022, in Atlanta. (Jason Getz / Jason.Getz@ajc.com)

The Braves are on the road tonight against the Phillies. Spencer Strider is on the bump for the Braves, while the Phillies have Aaron Nola on the mound for this NL East divisional battle. The season series is tied at 4. Both teams have split the eight games that they have played against one another this season. They have been very even this season, but let’s discuss more about the pitching matchup tonight.

Strider has had ten appearances on the road this season and in those ten road games there were five starts. In his ten road appearances, he is 2-2 with a 3.06 ERA. In his five road starts, Strider has given up two or fewer runs three times. He also has faced the Phillies once this season and got the win in under three innings of work. I like Strider in this spot here, and I think he can contain this Phillies offense.

Aaron Nola has made nine home starts this season. In those nine home starts, he has a 4-3 record with a 4.15 ERA. Nola has given up two or more runs in his last five home starts (7 out of 9 overall). This season he has a home victory over the Phillies; however, that was because their offense was on fire that game. He has faced the Braves 27 times in his career (14-8 with a 3.29 ERA). In those 27 career starts, he has given up two or more runs in 16 of those starts.

My full-game best bet is the Braves -125.

F5 Yankees -120

The Yankees start their short two-game set against their rival New York Mets. My best bet in this one is F5 Yankees -120. Here is why the Yankees in the first five innings is one of my best bets for today.

Jordan Montgomery vs Taijuan Walker is the pitching matchup here. The Yankees and the Mets are two of the best teams to bet in the first five innings in the league. However, the Mets are the better overall team in the first five innings, especially at home. Taijuan Walker has a 1.50 ERA at home this season, while Montgomery has a 3.15 ERA on the road this season.

The Yankees hit right-handers very well, while the Mets hit lefties worse than they do against right-handers. I think tonight favors the Yankees, and they are winning after the first five innings of this Subway Series matchup.

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