New York, New York! The city that never sleeps, The Big Apple. J-E-T-S, Jets Jets Jets! Home of Broadway Joe and the Butt Fumble. In case you missed it, last time we went over the Miami Dolphins. This time, I hope you are home alone, because we are about to get lost in New York!
QB:
Sam Darnold: Passing: 310/495-3,620 24:14 TD:INT
Rushing: 30-61-1 TD: 7 FMBL
Standard: 231.9 (28)
0.5 PPR: 231.9 (28)
1 PPR: 231.9 (28)
Joe Flacco: Passing: Money around because that dude got way overpaid.
Rushing: To the toilet, because he is basically crap.
In all formats, he is still Joe Flacco.
Sam Darnold played at USC, and I have an aversion to USC quarterbacks. I see his potential, but so far with Adam Gase, I have been unimpressed. He isn’t terrible, but his situation is less than optimal. If Gase left, I would be higher on him, but I still haven’t seen enough to convince me that he is the answer long-term for a franchise that really wants to find the answer long-term. He has a career 59.9 completion percentage, and his 36:28 TD:INT ratio makes me less than excited. He could experience major growth in year three, but I don’t feel confident enough to project it.
Meanwhile, Joe Flacco is still in the NFL. Yes, I know he went crazy during that playoff run. No, I don’t think that makes him a great QB. I cannot buy into him being anything other than a backup anymore, and I don’t think Darnold gets Mono again. There is no reason for him to see the field in 2020. Darnold has a way higher ceiling.
RB:
Le’Veon Bell: Rushing: 228-912-7 TD: 2 FMBL
Receiving: 81 targets, 59 catches, 451 Yds, 2 TD
Standard: 188.3 (17)
0.5 PPR: 217.8 (17)
1 PPR: 247.3 (15)
Frank Gore: Rushing: 50-181-1 TD
Receiving: 14 targets, 8 catches, 52 Yds
Standard: 29.3 (78)
0.5 PPR: 33.3 (79)
1 PPR: 37.3 (80)
Lamical Perine: Rushing: 30-145-1 TD
Receiving: 16 targets, 12 catches, 101 Yds
Standard: 30.6 (76)
0.5 PPR: 36.6 (76)
1 PPR: 42.6 (78)
Le’Veon Bell is primed for a bounce-back season, but he didn’t look the same after his holdout. The 28-year-old posted career lows in YPC, Rushing TDs, and attempts per game. He seemed to lack the stuff that made him special early in his career. This year, we should see a better version of Bell, but expecting a replication of his early career success seems unreasonable in his situation. He will see targets though, so in PPR leagues, he carries more value. 9 TDs and 1,363 scrimmage yards is nothing to ignore.
Frank Gore turns 99 this year. He is not a fantasy option. Perine does not have a crazy high ceiling, but he could and should be the second back on the depth chart by the end of the year. An injury to Bell could make him reasonably valuable. Therefore, Perine is the handcuff you want if you land Bell. However, I bet Frank Gore could tell some amazing WWII stories.
WR:
Jamison Crowder: Receiving: 97 targets, 62 catches, 740 Yds, 4 TDs
Standard: 98 (52)
0.5 PPR: 129 (49)
1 PPR: 160 (47)
Denzel Mims: Receiving: 69 targets, 47 catches, 700 Yds, 5 TD:1 FMBL
Standard: 99 (50)
0.5 PPR: 122.5 (52)
1 PPR: 146 (53)
Breshad Perriman: Receiving: 69 targets, 32 catches, 501 Yds, 4 TD
Standard: 74.1 (67)
0.5 PPR: 90.1 (69)
1 PPR: 106.1 (74)
Josh Doctson: Receiving: 39 targets, 20 catches, 252 Yds, 2 TD
Standard: 37.2 (102)
0.5 PPR: 47.2 (102)
1 PPR: 57.2 (102)
Josh Malone: Receiving: 15 targets, 10 catches, 116 Yds
Standard: 11.6 (141)
0.5 PPR: 16.6 (141)
1 PPR: 21.6 (139)
OK, this WR corps has some weapons. Crowder is a solid, albeit unspectacular option at WR who had 122 targets last year.. He will get his catches. Perriman is a big play waiting to happen. He has a career 16.4 YPC average. But Mims is the guy I am most intrigued by. He was a monster in college, and possesses the type of ceiling I am looking for. He has the most talent of the trio, and I suspect he begins 2021 as the Jets number 1 option. Hopefully, Gase is somewhere else by then. I am all over Mims in dynasty formats.
As for the rest of this motley crew, avoid. The Jets won’t exactly be prolific, and the aforementioned three WR’s should soak up most of the targets. I am looking for exposure to Mims, and Crowder should hold value. Perriman is a gamble, but he could pay off big. Otherwise, Josh Doctson has been a bust, Josh Malone won’t get the touches, and neither are worthy of rostering at this point.
TE:
Chris Herndon: Receiving: 60 targets, 39 catches, 488 Yds, 5 TD: 2 FMBL
Standard: 76.8 (20)
0.5 PPR: 96.3 (21)
1 PPR: 115.8 (23)
Ryan Griffin: Receiving: 35 targets, 21 catches, 219 Yds, 2 TD
Standard: 33.9 (45)
0.5 PPR: 44.4 (45)
1 PPR: 54.9 (46)
Herndon has flashed real potential in his short career, and I am expecting a solid season from the third year man from Miami. There’s just one problem. Adam Gase is his coach. That won’t stop me from getting some exposure to him as a backup TE with TE1 upside, but as a whole, I think he’s a year away from fantasy excellence.
Griffin has proven serviceable for stretches, but Herndon should dominate the target share, and the WRs are gonna see the ball more often than the TE2. He is only a viable option if Herndon goes down. Even then, only as a backup. Did I mention I am not a fan of Adam Gase?
I have the Jets scoring 1065.7 points in 0.5 PPR, which ranks 31st. However, there is value here. Mims should outperform his ADP. And Bell is a solid option at RB2. I am just not high on Darnold, or maybe I am not high on Gase?
We did it, we covered the Jets. I know it was like pulling teeth, but be thankful you have teeth to pull. If you don’t, you should brush more often. Follow me on Twitter @realryanhicks. Follow Belly Up Fantasy on Twitter for all your sports needs. Next up, we have the New England Patriots.