The upcoming game between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers is expected to be an intriguing matchup. Despite the Lions’ struggles on the road, they have the potential to outperform the Packers. This article provides an analysis of the game lines and key player matchups, helping you make informed betting and start/sit decisions.

Game Lines: DET -1.5 45 O/U

The Lions’ inconsistency on the road makes them a risky bet, even when facing a seemingly weaker opponent. They have been favored in 1.5-point spreads and have managed a 3-2 record under such circumstances. Conversely, the Packers have performed well as 1.5-point underdogs, with a 4-2 record. Overall, the lines in this game do not offer much value for bettors.

Quarterbacks: Jared Goff and Jordan Love

1. Jared Goff (DET): Ranked at QB15 in my rankings, slightly better than the Expert Consensus Ranking (ECR) of 17. However, considering his prop of 254.5 passing yards per game, it might be advisable to bet under on Goff. He has only surpassed this mark twice on the road since 2022, indicating limitations in away games.

2. Jordan Love (GB): Ranked at QB16 in my rankings, with an ECR of QB18, Love has been the QB4 so far this season despite sporting a mere 53% completion percentage. Love has shown improvement with his rushing ability potentially offering a sustainable floor down the road. With 9 carries, 39 yards, and 1 touchdown in last week’s game, he is becoming more of a dual-threat quarterback. He will need to continue that trend to maintain fantasy streaming value in what has been unsustainable passing inefficiency.

Running Backs:Aaron Jones, Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery, and AJ Dillon

1. Aaron Jones (GB): Ranked at RB14 by my rankings and RB15 by ECR, Jones expects to be available tonight for the first time since his hamstring injury. Given the lack of production provided by AJ Dillon in his absence, the Packers may be eager to at least give Jones plenty of key fantasy point-scoring opportunities even if he is on a snap count. (Redzone and passing downs.)

2. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET): Ranked at RB17 in my rankings and RB11 by ECR, Gibbs’ role is uncertain due to David Montgomery’s return to the field. (Montgomery is my RB24 this week in return.) Gibbs assumed the Montgomery role in his absence giving way to Craig Reynolds as the passing scenario back. It seems some trust with Gibbs in pass pro is still needed before he takes the reigns on that role. With Montgomery’s return temper your ceiling expectations. It is a favorable matchup though with the Packers’ defense ranking 21st in points allowed to running backs.

3. AJ Dillon (GB): Regardless of Jones’ availability, Dillon’s rank remains unaffected as a must-bench. His performance has been lackluster so far, averaging 2.7 yards per carry. He has simply failed to show worth even as a handcuff. Drop Dillon in 12-man or less leagues.

Wide Receivers: Amon-Ra St.Brown, Christian Watson, Josh Reynolds, Romeo Doubs, and Jayden Reed

1. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET): Ranked at WR10 in my rankings and WR9 by ECR, St. Brown is always a reliable target for Goff. However, the Packers’ defense has allowed the fifth-fewest yards to wide receivers. St. Brown has surpassed his prop of 73.5 receiving yards in two of the last three games, but he may need touchdowns for fantasy value this week.

2. Christian Watson (GB): Ranked at WR36 in my rankings and WR42 by ECR, Watson’s return from injury adds uncertainty to his performance. It is advisable to monitor his chemistry with Love and his positioning in the wide receiver pecking order this week. However, what makes Watson special is his ability to take one play and turn it into fantasy gold. He is a boom-or-bust WR3 prospect this week.

3. Josh Reynolds (DET): Reynolds had a disappointing performance in the previous game, with LaPorta emerging as the second top receiver. Although he still has a significant role, betting on Reynolds may not be favorable, particularly in an away game.

4. Romeo Doubs (DET): My WR42 in my rankings and WR44 in ECR, Doubs’ health has been improving, and he has been seeing increased snaps. Doubs is likely to play the most snaps among the wide receivers again this week. Betting on him to exceed the mark of 38.5 receiving yards may be a promising option.

5. Jayden Reed (DET): Reed’s performance heavily relies on Watson’s involvement. If Watson returns, Reed’s playing time is expected to decrease, making it advisable to bet under his projection of 35.5 receiving yards.

Tight Ends: Sam LaPorta and Luke Musgrave

1. Sam LaPorta (GB): Ranked as my TE8, is propped at 41.5 receiving yards. LaPorta has been emerging as the second-best pass catcher for the Lions. With two successful games in the last three, betting over on his yardage could be a sensible choice.

2. Luke Musgrave (DET): Ranked at my TE12 and TE13 by ECR, Musgrave has found success in the past two games. Additionally, the Lions’ defense has allowed the most yards to tight ends thus far. Betting on Musgrave to surpass 39.5 receiving yards might be a favorable option.

For more content from Dan Mader, host of the MD’s Fantasy Football Show, visit the youtube channel, or get the edge by viewing his industry-accurate rankings here.