Once again, we are ready for a full slate of football games. There are many bets that one should be eager to take while others should be taken with caution. Last week, I went four for seven on bets one should take with some barely covering while others almost hit. With this in mind, hopefully, the Sunday Sevens for this week will be perfect and help you with your bets over the weekend. Here is one favorite, one underdog, one over bet on the total, one under bet on the total, one money line underdog bet, one alternate spread, and one player prop to take. 

Favorite: Buccaneers (-5.5) over Panthers

The Buccaneers just came off of their worst loss of the season on Sunday night at home against the New Orleans Saints. This game looks to be one where Tampa bay bounces back to the Super Bowl hyped team that they were labeled from the beginning of the season. The Panthers are a tricky team since they have covered the spread in many of their losses but aren’t a team that is going to win often. The last time the Bucs played the Panthers they beat them handily and we can expect the same this Sunday. The Buccaneers haven’t lost back-to-back games all season, the question is if they can win this game by six points or more (you have to like those chances).

Underdog: 49ers (+9.5) vs. Saints

This isn’t a matter of the 49ers pulling off an upset. In all likelihood, they will lose on Sunday, this is about them covering the spread. The oddsmakers are banking on a blowout and considering that three of the five losses from the Niners are by 10 or more points and the fact that the 49ers have half their roster on injured reserve, this seems like a reasonable line. At the same time, one should expect them to cover this spread. The Saints are riding high off of last week’s victory and this can become a trap game. We should also see a better performance from Nick Mullens who will be starting his second game in a row this week. Don’t expect the 49ers to win but consider that the 9.5 line is a high mark for Sunday’s game.

Over: Ravens vs. Patriots (43.5)

43.5 is an incredibly low total. The Ravens defense has been the best scoring defense this season, allowing only 17.8 per game. While the anticipation for this game is a run-heavy strategy with both defenses playing well, we can expect the floodgates to open at any given point. The Patriots for one surrendered 27 points last week to the New York Jets, who have been the worst team with the worst offense in the NFL. this total is a prime opportunity to bet the Over and expect the spread to be covered sooner than anticipated.

Under: Bills vs. Cardinals (56.5)

This game has the highest total of the week. Both teams have been running up the score in recent weeks and appear ready for a shootout over the weekend. There are two reasons to avoid betting the Over in this game. The first and most obvious is that 56.5 is a high total regardless of who is playing. Generally, you want to avoid making bets with totals higher than 50, and 56.5 is more than high enough.

The second factor to consider is both teams are scoring a lot of points but only recently. The Cardinals previous two games covered scored more than 57 points. None of the six games beforehand surpassed the 57 point mark (which is what you need on Sunday). Likewise, the Bills have played in four games in which the 57 point mark was surpassed. But only once in the previous five games have covered that total. This game is one that should expect both teams to fall to the mean when it comes to scoring.

Money Line: Seahawks (+100) over Rams

This game has become a pick ’em game with the Rams being slight favorites. After last week’s upset loss to the Bills, it almost seems natural that the Seahawks are going to bounce back this week. The Money Line doesn’t give you great odds and you might want to consider taking an alternate spread if you are going to bet on the Seahawks. At the same time, this is a rare opportunity to place bets on an underdog Seahawks team who haven’t lost back-to-back games since last season.

Alternate Spread: Dolphins (-4.5) over Chargers for (+150)

The Dolphins are riding a hot streak and look like one of the best teams in the AFC after defeating the Rams and Cardinals in the past two weeks. The Chargers have played in close games but frankly aren’t a good team. The only reason they are competitive to the credit of the promising Justin Herbert. The Dolphins are only slightly favored in this game but you should take an alternate spread of 4.5 for better odds (if you bet $10 and the Dolphins cover, you will get back $25). Tua Tagovialoa keeps improving after every game and doesn’t appear to be slowing down anytime soon. The Dolphins should win this game and may even blow out the Chargers while at it.

Player Prop Bets

Over Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards (34.5)

Last week, the Buccaneers ran the ball five times the entire game. After their most embarrassing loss of the season, expect the Bucs to run the ball a lot more on Sunday. Leonard Fournette is considered the second running back on the depth chart. However, we should expect a lot of fourth quarter carries, especially if Tampa is leading. 34.5 is a low total for yards and we should expect Fournette to cover that total win this game easily.

Under Davante Adams Receiving Yards (87.5)

Davante Adams has been the hottest receiver in the NFL this season. Adams and Rodgers have been connecting better than any quarterback-receiver duo in the NFL. This is a risky call but I would bet the Under on Adams this week. 87.5 yards is a high total for any receiver, making this one of the riskier bets in either direction. We can also expect the Jaguars to game plan for Adams with the hopes that the Packers beat them with anyone else. Adams should get plenty of targets but expect them to be short-yardage targets and goal-line targets.

The odds are via vegasinsider.com and the player props and alternate spreads are via Fanduel Sportsbook and all lines are subject to change.

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