This week, things are going to be a bit different. Not on the football field, as of Friday, there are still games scheduled and there aren’t any complications from teams dealing with COVID-19. The different thing for this week will be the seventh bet on Sunday Sevens. Considering how I have done with player prop bets (not well) and considering the lack of prop bets that are available at this time of the week, the prop bet is retired. Instead, the seventh bet will be a slightly risky but hopefully accurate three-leg parlay of the week. Without further discussion, let’s dive in to the Sunday Sevens.

Favorite: (-8.5) Packers versus Eagles

This game has the ability to be a trap game or one that the Green Bay Packers play down to the Eagles and don’t cover the spread. If you have been watching either of these teams in recent weeks, you know that this isn’t a fair fight. The Packers are one of the best teams in the NFC and need every win they can get to catch up in the chase for the top seed in the conference. The Eagles, on the other hand, have been fighting in the terrible NFC East but look awful this season with no offense and a quarterback that looks more replaceable by the start. The Packers should win at home by at least double-digits with a balanced attack and a pass rush that can get to Carson Wentz.

Underdog: (+5.5) Browns versus Titans

The assumption is the Cleveland Browns are the most overrated team in the NFL, with eight wins but an easy schedule which they have barely won those games in. It’s also assumed that the Titans are one of the best teams in the AFC and are going to cruise through the rest of their schedule behind the unstoppable Derrick Henry. However, this game should be much closer than people assume it will be. For starters, the Browns are going to run the ball early and often behind a surprisingly great offensive line and the two-headed monster at running back in Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb. Also, the Titans are going to feed Derrick Henry often but the Browns are going to load the box and dare Ryan Tannehill to beat them. The Browns can pull off the upset but more importantly, they should cover the 5.5 point spread.

Over: Chiefs versus Broncos (51.5)

This is a high total and when you watch the Broncos play last week, you wonder if their offense can bounce back. Last week was a perfect storm in Denver as all their quarterbacks were ineligible to play from COVID-19 protocols. This week, Drew Lock returns and we can expect the offense to put up some points in the process. The Kansas City Chiefs need no mention of their incredible offense, Patrick Mahomes is playing at an MVP level and the Chiefs can easily score 40 per game if they choose to. Expect the Over to cover with both offenses overachieving on Sunday Night Football.

Under: Raiders versus Jets (47.5)

The Raiders looked awful last week as they were embarrassed to the lowly Falcons 43-6. While the Raiders’ offense should have a bounce-back game, this total will go Under solely on the ineptitude of the Jets’ offense. Sam Darnold hasn’t thrown a second-half touchdown pass since Week 2 this season. The Jets’ offense is averaging 13.8 points per game, the worst mark in the NFL. The Raiders have a good enough defense to keep the Jets from scoring, possibly at all. Meanwhile, the Raiders can run up the score but it’s unlikely in a game that should be over early. The Under should cover in this game simply because the Jets can’t score.

Money Line: Lions versus Bears

Both teams are disasters at the moment. The Bears have lost their last five games and the offense has been a mess with both Mitch Trubisky and Nick Foles being named starters and then benched (when you have two quarterbacks you have none). The Lions have been a disaster all season and their last loss on Thanksgiving led to the firing of head coach Matt Patricia. I would pick the Lions in this yawner of a game simply because this is their first game without the awful head coach. We have seen many times, the players on a team rally after the first game in which their coach has been fired and play their best game of the year. Expect the Lions to win this game with the best performance of their season.

Alternate Spread: (-3.5) Patriots versus Chargers

This game has become a pick ’em game with the Patriots having to travel to the West coast to play the Chargers. The Patriots are just coming off one of their best victories of the season by narrowly defeating the Cardinals. In addition, Bill Belichick has last lost to the Chargers in 2008 (oddly enough, that was the last time he played them without Tom Brady at quarterback) and seems to give rookie quarterbacks a usually difficult time. Expect the Patriots to win on Sunday and expect them to win by more than a field goal (betting on them with this alternate spread will give you better odds).

Three-Leg Parlay: Alternate Spreads Seahawks (-6.5) Vikings (-6.5) + Alternate Total Texans-Colts Over (47.5) for (+287)

This Parlay gives us two sure bets with the Seahawks expected to easily beat the Giants and the Vikings expected to easily beat the Jaguars but giving us a few points back in case either team only wins by a touchdown. The alternate total is betting the Over on a Texans versus Colts game that should be a shootout of some variety. The alternate total also gives us a few points in case both defenses play better than anticipated and the total doesn’t clear 50 points. None of these Sunday bets are truly risky but the hope is that all three can easily hit and thus a substantial amount of money is won.

The odds are courtesy of Vegasinsider.com and are subject to change.

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