It is officially draft season! Everyone knows you need to have good running backs if you want to win a championship. Let’s take a short look at my Top 24 Running Backs (PPR scoring) for the 2020 season.
Tier 1: Elite AF
- Christian McCaffrey: This one doesn’t require much explanation. Odds are against him to repeat as the RB1, but it’s a bold move to fade him with your #1 pick. Does he see the same ridiculous workload under the new coaching staff?
- Saquon Barkley: Another straight forward one. You could make a case for Zeke here but Barkley is one of the most dynamic backs ever and the offense should improve. Update: Limped off the field at practice today but returned. Something to keep an eye on.
- Ezekiel Elliott: Consistency is Zeke’s middle name. Actually it’s Elijah but just go with it. You know exactly what you’re going to get when you pick him and that’s a player that’s going to be among the top 24 running backs every week.
Tier 2: Probably Elite but…
- Alvin Kamara: 2019 was a down year, no doubt about that. He was injured though, perhaps more than initially thought. I’m feeling a big bounce back this year. It is a little concerning he went vegan this offseason. You can hedge your bet by drafting Latavius Murray.
- Dalvin Cook: I would put him in the third spot if I knew he was going to play 16 games, the injury risk is real though. His contract situation is also a question mark. Grab Alexander Mattison if you draft Cook.
Tier 3: High Ceiling Studs with Receiving Upside
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: His upside is through the roof as the lead back in the Chiefs offense. Rave reviews coming out of camp. Candidate to catch 60 plus passes alongside his rushing production.
- Kenyan Drake: Smashed after being traded to the Cardinals last season. Has always been electric when he gets touches. Will be running against light fronts in this spread offense. Update: Drake was spotted wearing a walking boot after writing this. The Cards say it’s precautionary, but something to keep an eye on. You can handcuff with Chase Edmonds if that’s your style.
- Miles Sanders: The hype train hit a speed bump when the Eagles listed Sanders as week-to-week with a lower leg injury but it sounds like they’re just being careful with him. Should be close to an every-down back.
Tier 4: High Floor RB1s with Questionable Pass Catching Involvement
- Derrick Henry: A good bet to lead the league in rushing yards, just doesn’t see the receiving volume other RB1s do. Still a safe pick due to rushing volume.
- Josh Jacobs: If the Raiders signing Theo Riddick scares you off Jacobs, you should re-evaluate your process. Was excellent as a rookie with a broken shoulder.
- Joe Mixon: If the Bengals truly do decide he needs more touches I might have to move him up. Lack of involvement in the passing game makes me hesitant. He is more than capable of catching passes though so maybe that changes?
Tier 5: High End RB2s
- Austin Ekeler: I don’t expect the workload to change much from last year despite Melvin Gordon leaving. Also, I wonder if the Chargers offense regresses a bit with Tyrod Taylor running the show?
- Aaron Jones: Will probably get hit with a lot of touchdown regression from last year. Likely to be Green Bay’s second option in the passing game though.
- Jonathan Taylor: Yes, Marlon Mack is a good player. Yes, they’re going to split some carries. Yes, he will lose some passing downs to Nyheim Hines. I don’t care though. Taylor is an animal and will make it harder and harder to take him off the field as the season goes on.
- Le’Veon Bell: Bell was not very good last year but he also wasn’t that terrible. Reportedly in amazing shape and with a (hopefully) improved offensive line, he could be in for a bounce back.
- David Johnson: Honestly I think he looked just fine last year before his back injury. He’s now on a team with a ton of vacated targets and rushing attempts available. If he can regain his usual form he will outperform this spot.
- Nick Chubb: I’ll probably get ridiculed for having Chubb this low, but I’m just not really on him this year. Kareem Hunt’s presence caps his ceiling.
Tier 6: Low End RB2s
- Leonard Fournette: Volume is the name of the game with Lenny. He’s going to get a lot of it. Should also see an uptick in touchdowns from last year.
- Todd Gurley: Lead back on a strong offense. Will he be more involved in the passing game like he is capable of? Could get ran into the ground on a one year deal.
- James Conner: If he manages to stay healthy, which he hasn’t shown he can, I have him way too low. Pittsburgh’s offense should be much better this year with Big Ben returning.
- Chris Carson: Another guy I might be too low on. He’s always produced throughout his career but the injury history and fumbles make me leery of him.
- David Montgomery: Supposedly in much better shape this year, if he can improve on his efficiency and keep the same high volume he’ll beat his draft position.
- D’Andre Swift: Kerryon Johnson has basically said Swift is better than him. At some point Swift is going to explode, it’s just a matter of how long the Lions coaching staff takes to unleash him.
- Ronald Jones: I don’t care that he dropped a couple of passes in practice and neither should you. Should be the lead back in a high powered offense with a lot of touchdown opportunities.
Well, there you have it, my top 24 running backs. Follow me on Twitter @JimJamFF and let me know who you agree or disagree on! Check out the other articles we have at Belly Up while you’re here. Happy drafting!