Thursday, November 21, 2024

Fantasy Football

Kyler Murray Myths

Dynasty fantasy managers hate Kyler Murray. I’m not talking about everyone, but there is a majority of dynasty managers that think he is to be avoided. Much of this is due to ridiculous narratives. Here are the 5 main Kyler Murray myths I have been hearing that I will be busting.

1) He Can’t Succeed Without His Legs

This myth revolves around his ACL tear. However, he’s 25 years old so recovery shouldn’t be an issue. People are worried that he only succeeds because of his legs, because they have this false view that he’s a rushing quarterback who can’t throw, like Justin Fields. However, Kyler Murray was PFF’s best deep passer in 2021. That’s not something an RB disguised as a QB can do. He may not put up the same rushing stats this year as he has previously. But that doesn’t mean he can’t still be good and I expect him to be able to get back to what he’s proven he can do the following year.

2) Avoid Him Because the Cardinals Might Draft Caleb Williams Next Year

This stems from the idea that the Cardinals have their own first-round pick and the Texans’ first-round pick for 2024. Both of them currently project to be top 3 by many. With Caleb Williams and Drake Maye looking like stud QB prospects, those firsts would be super valuable. There are two main options for those picks. The later pick could be used to bolster the team (maybe by adding someone like Marvin Harrison Jr.) But the earlier pick would likely be used to draft a QB. The Cardinals could trade that pick for a haul, which would improve Kyler’s team. Or, they would trade Kyler away and take the cheaper rookie QB contract. People use this latter option as a knock against Kyler, but is it really one?

Look at his contract and look at his talent. He’s at worst an average NFL QB. You don’t get ranked as QB7 on PFF in 2021 if you suck. He was even in the MVP running one year. He’s not getting benched. So, when healthy, he’s either he’s starting for the Cardinals or he’s starting somewhere else. I constantly hear people saying “The Cardinals have a new staff that will trade him.” What’s my response to that? Great! Besides Chicago, what team without QB security would be a downgrade from Arizona? On the other hand, imagine the upgraded situation he could land in if he is traded to any other team in the league.

3) He’s Got Character Issues

This may be a real concern. It’s largely based on rumours and the infamous study clause, but if it’s a concern, it’s not a new one. And how has he done so far with those concerns? Good enough in the NFL and great for fantasy. So if he’s been a great fantasy QB with these character concerns, how good could he be if he overcomes them?

4) He’s Fragile Because He’s Small

Kyler Murray never missed a game in his first two seasons. In 2021, he missed one three-game stretch due to an ankle injury. In 2022, he missed two games due to a hamstring strain. Then he had the non-contact ACL tear at the end of that season that has nothing to do with his size. Larger QBs like Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, and Patrick Mahomes have missed multiple games too. Carson Wentz has an ideal size and constantly struggles with injury. On the other hand, how many games has Russell Wilson missed in his long career?

5) He Goes On Bad Stretches Late in Seasons

There’s this narrative that says he starts off each season strong and loses you the season in the end. I’m not saying he doesn’t have any poor games, but since his rookie season, he hasn’t had any poor back-to-back performances. Even in his rookie season, when his weapons were poorest, his floor was pretty good for a rookie.

Wrap-Up

I do get that he is injured and that hurts his value. But with an ADP of 42, that’s a steal. Deshaun Watson had a suspension discount. He was horrible in his return and still regained value. Kyler Murray has been a top fantasy QB ever since he entered the league and it’s very unlikely that changes when he returns to health. I’d be surprised if his ADP wasn’t in the first round next season. There is unreasonable hate being thrown his way. Don’t fall for these myths and buy low before people come to their senses.

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – SEPTEMBER 08: Quarterback Kyler Murray #1 of the Arizona Cardinals celebrates after converting a two-point conversion against the Detroit Lions during the final moments of the second half of the NFL game at State Farm Stadium on September 08, 2019 in Glendale, Arizona. The Lions and Cardinals tied 27-27. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

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