Sunday, May 19, 2024

Fantasy Football

Colts Projections: Luck-y 2020

How Luck-y do you feel Indianapolis. We should retire that joke early I think. What could have been… Oh well, now you have old man Rivers. He is a definite upgrade from last years QB mess. Expectations are high in Indy, and rightfully so. In case you missed it, last time we covered the Pittsburgh Steelers. This article is all about the Colts. Saddle up, its time to break down these ponies.

QB:

Rivers demonstrating picture-perfect shot-put form

Philip Rivers: Passing: 360/540 4,201 Yds 29 TD: 12 INT
Rushing: 7-11, 3 FMBL
Standard: 270.14 (19)
0.5 PPR: 270.14 (19)
1 PPR: 270.14 (19)

Jacoby Brissett: Passing: Didn’t he try that last year? He should stop.
Rushing: Not that great at this either it seems…

Jacob Eason: Passing: the Philip Rivers smack talk classes he is currently enrolled in.
Rushing: No rushing this guy. He could be the future, but he isn’t the present.

Welcome to Indy, Mr. Rivers! And welcome to the best offensive line in football. Even though many will confuse Rivers with a statue, good luck(I will try to stop using this word!) trying to tear him down. Add in the weapons Indy possesses, and Rivers is primed for a heckuva year. By no means elite, Rivers should serve as a quality second QB. And he will have some enormous games. Rivers has 7 straight years over 4,000 yards. He will make it 8 in 2020. He also hasn’t missed a game. Ever. We create our own Luck(can’t help myself Colts fans!)

Brissett is a backup with a backups ceiling. Eason is a quarterback who shouldn’t take a snap in 2020. He is worth a shot in dynasty, but not in redraft.

RB:

Big? Check. Fast? Check. Wicked Colts Line? Double Check

Jonathon Taylor: Rushing: 192-1,045-8 TD: 3 FMBL
Receiving: 26 targets, 19 catches, 202 Yds, 1 TD
Standard: 175.7 (20)
0.5 PPR: 185.2 (22)
1 PPR: 194.7 (24)

Marlon Mack: Rushing: 170-749-6 TD
Receiving: 43 targets, 35 catches, 334 Yds, 2 TD
Standard: 156.3 (27)
0.5 PPR: 173.8 (26)
1 PPR: 191.3 (25)

Nyheim Hines: Rushing: 51-184-1 TD: 1 FMBL
Receiving: 59 targets, 46 catches, 391 Yds, 2 TD
Standard: 74.5 (55)
0.5 PPR: 97.5 (49)
1 PPR: 120.5 (46)

Jordan Wilkins: Rushing: 11-59
Receiving: 8 targets, 5 catches, 39 Yds
Standard: 9.8 (98)
0.5 PPR: 12.3 (98)
1 PPR: 14.8 (98)

Oh mama, let’s get one thing out of the way here. I think I could rush for a solid amount of yards behind this line. These backs are all significantly better than me. But Taylor and Mack are both excellent. Taylor has more talent, and should get the most touches. Expect him to be in the ROTY convo. Mack isn’t just fading away though. Why wouldn’t Indy run on people? Taylor should be a low-end RB2, and Mack a solid flex option. Hines becomes relevant in PPR formats.

WIlkins might not make the team. If he does, it’s not like it will make a big difference. I like the other three and want some exposure to each. However, Taylor is going a bit high for my tastes lately.

WR:

T.Y. Hilton waving to his third new QB in three years.

T.Y. Hilton: Receiving: 114 targets, 70 catches, 1,019 Yds, 5 TD: 1 FMBL
Standard: 130.9 (33)
0.5 PPR: 165.9 (30)
1 PPR: 200.9 (32)

Michael Pittman: Receiving: 71 targets, 42 catches, 603 Yds, 6 TD: 1 FMBL
Standard: 95.3 (53)
0.5 PPR: 116.3 (57)
1 PPR: 137.3 (58)

Parris Campbell: Rushing: 6-42
Receiving: 61 targets, 36 catches, 394 Yds, 3 TD: 2 FMBL
Standard: 59.6 (83)
0.5 PPR: 77.6 (84)
1 PPR: 95.6 (83)

Zach Pascal: Receiving: 23 targets, 13 catches, 178 Yds
Standard: 17.8 (129)
0.5 PPR: 24.3 (128)
1 PPR: 30.8 (125)

Dezmon Patmon: Receiving: Limited playtime.
He’s a future asset at best surrounded by a bunch of more talented weapons. Perhaps special teams contributor?

Hilton will be 31 in 2020. But please don’t pretend you don’t see him being the Keenan Allen to Rivers this year. He will get the most targets. He is startable as a WR3 in all formats. But it’s Pittman who intrigues me. He has quite the ceiling. He won’t out-target Hilton, but he could wind up as one of the better second options in the league for the Colts.

Campbell was disappointing in his rookie season. Between the injuries and the inconsistency, let’s hope he is better. But I honestly believe Pittman is more talented. Heck, Pascal might be too. But I don’t actually project that. If you aren’t landing the top two, avoid the rest.

Sorry Patmon.

TE:

Jack Doyle rules! Jack Doyle rules! Watch Billy Madison if you don’t get this reference.

Jack Doyle: Receiving: 76 targets, 57 catches, 581 Yds, 4 TD: 1 FMBL
Standard: 81.1 (18)
0.5 PPR: 109.6 (16)
1 PPR: 138.1 (14)

Trey Burton:Receiving: 40 targets, 25 catches, 269 Yds, 2 TD
Standard: 38.9 (40)
0.5 PPR: 51.4 (39)
1 PPR: 63.9 (39)

Mo Alie-Cox: Receiving: 19 targets, 12 catches, 191 Yds, 2 TD
Standard: 31.1 (47)
0.5 PPR: 37.1 (51)
1 PPR: 43.1 (52)

Jack Doyle should see a healthy amount of looks also, Rivers loves his tight ends. Problem is, there are three that should get looks. This hurts them all. Burton has shown upside, and the coaches have talked about involving Alie-Cox more. But Doyle is the alpha here, and Doyle is the roster-able one. He is a TE2 with real TE1 upside. And I think he is a sneaky play to get value at TE. Rivers could make his projections look ridiculously low.

I am projecting the Colts to score 1,321.14 points in 0.5 PPR formats, which is 8th. Yea, that’s an offense I like. I’ll take two of the backs, two of the WRs, a shot of TE, and a tall glass of Rivers all day. They might not all start, but they will be on my rosters.

The Colts could be legitimate contenders in 2020 if Rivers can hold up. They have little in terms of weaknesses. Follow me on Twitter @realryanhicks. Follow Belly Up Fantasy on Twitter for all your sports needs. Next up, we have the Jacksonville Jaguars.