It’s Week 3 everybody and I’m here to bring you the newest edition of the starts and sits article. We at Belly Up are here to help you guys win your matchups and get to your championships. I enjoy helping you guys optimize your lineups and bringing you my starts and sits for Week 3. I hope these starts and sits articles have been putting you guys over the top and I look forward to continuing to help you guys succeed.
Quarterback
Starts
Teddy Bridgewater vs New York Jets
TeDdY bRiDgEwAtEr DoEsN’t ThRoW dEeP pic.twitter.com/8NTEEnMnNd
— Joe Rowles (@JoRo_NFL) September 19, 2021
Teddy Bridgewater has been everything the Broncos have asked for in a quarterback. So far Bridgewater has been hyper-efficient with the football, completing 77.1 percent of his passes. One thing that has stood out is his rushing ability, carrying the ball seven times so far for 20 yards, not impressive but five of those carries have been in the red zone (second most). He’ll be playing a defense that gives up everything to everyone. The Jets don’t have the defense to pressure him or stop Bridgewater’s weapons. My prediction is Bridgewater throws for 250 yards, 3 TD.
Kirk Cousins vs Seattle Seahawks
Kirk Cousins has been great this season, and he’ll have another shootout opportunity against Russell Wilson. We sometimes forget Cousins has 4,000 yards in five of his six seasons as a starting QB. On Sunday, Cousins will have an ideal matchup against a Seattle defense that allows 271 yards per game. My prediction is Cousins will have 300 yards and 3 TDs in a matchup that the Viking will need Cousins to keep pace with Wilson.
Sits
Justin Fields vs Cleveland Browns
Talk about an unideal first matchup for the young quarterback, Justin Fields will have his hands full with the Browns. A front seven that can bring the pressure and could be all over the rookie on Sunday. I expect Fields will have some of the rookie jitters for his first start. My prediction is 200 passing yards TD, 2 INT, and 50-100 rushing yards, TD
Zach Wilson vs Denver Broncos
Zach Wilson faces another elite defensive unit in the Denver Broncos. Last week was nothing short of terrible for the number two overall pick in the draft. Throwing four interceptions on a day that he could have easily thrown six. Wilson has had not only the pressure of being a big apple QB but has also been sacked 10 times in two games. This week on paper looks like it’ll be a lot of the same, with the Broncos defense allowing the fourth least amount of passing yards per game (184). The one thing that Wilson has going for him is the Broncos have not been racking up the sacks this year, only having three (all three belong to Von Miller). My prediction is another rough one for the young gunslinger, 220 passing yards, 2 TD, 3 INT.
Running Back
Starts
Chase Edmonds vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Chase Edmonds elevated his snap share from 56.1 percent to 63.3 percent from Week 1 to Week 2. I look forward to Edmonds having a breakout game against the Jaguars. Some stats to look at are his routes run to this point (36) and his red zone carries (two). James Conner‘s snaps on the flip side have gone down from 45.5 percent to 38.3 percent. This could be indicative of either the game script or lack of production from the former Steeler, either way, it looks like Edmonds is due for more touches this season. My prediction, 55-70 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 30-40 yards, TD.
Javonte Williams vs New York Jets
Javonte Williams is a BOSS.
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) September 19, 2021
That’s all.
📺: CBS pic.twitter.com/Xly8rn6kOG
Javonte Williams was the most productive running back last week, even with 44 percent of the snaps. On the same amount of rushes last week Williams had 64 yards to Melvin Gordon’s 31. So far Williams has been as advertised a bowling ball that has broken five tackles so far this year. The Jets on the other hand have been a middle-of-the-road rush defense who have allowed an average of 106 yards per game. My prediction is 70 yards and 2 TDs for the North Carolina Alum.
Sits
Darrell Henderson vs Tampa Bay Bucs
Darrell Henderson will have to deal with a stout defense this week in Tampa Bay. A team that is only allowing three yards per carry and 57.5 yards on the ground per game. If Henderson is to have any success in this game he’ll have to capitalize off his five targets, three catch games in Week 2. Also, Henderson will be going into this game hurt, my prediction is 45 yards rushing, 20 yards receiving.
Jamaal Williams vs Baltimore Ravens
Jamaal Williams has carved out a role on this offense in Detroit and last week saw an uptick in snap share from 34 to 39 percent. While usually, this would mean more carries or routes run it ended up being the exact opposite. Baltimore Ravens have only allowed for 3.7 yards per carry and have been good against two high-end running backs in Josh Jacobs and Clyde Edwards-Helaire.
Wide Receivers
Starts
Rondale Moore vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Rondale Moore is averaging 14.3 yards AFTER catch per reception this season
— PFF College (@PFF_College) September 20, 2021
4.8 yards more than any other NFL player pic.twitter.com/rjyAPw9Djz
Rondale Moore is a crazy talent, who can stretch the field, play the gadget role, and much more. being the fourth option on an offense is usually an unsavory position, but this Cardinals offense has been surreal through two weeks. Moore has received 13 targets on 35 routes run, he has also increased his snap percentage from 35 to 50 percent. The Jaguars are a team that has allowed 309 yards per game to not otherworldly offenses, so we can only imagine how this game will go. Moore prediction is 5-7 receptions, 100 yards, TD
KJ Osborn vs Seattle Seahawks
KJ Osborn has been a topic of debate, is he a reliable pick-up, are we worried about this offense having enough to feed three receivers? So my answers are that yes Osborn is reliable, here are some stats to reassure you. While Osborn took a dip in snap share last week, he still had 58 percent, showing off his downfield ability on a 60 yard TD. Osborn has also run the ninth most slot snaps at 65, indicating he’s carved out a role on this offense. My prediction is Osborn will have 5 receptions, 50-70 yards, TD.
Sits
Mike Evans vs LA Rams
Mike Evans might draw the short straw this week and will have to run routes against one of the best corners in the game Jalen Ramsey. Ramsey has drawn Allen Robinson and Zach Pascal in his first two matchups, only allowing 7 receptions for 51 yards. Evans is a great receiver, but with this excellent matchup, we may see the offense try to go elsewhere. My prediction is 3-4 receptions for 40 yards.
Quintez Cephus vs Baltimore Ravens
QUINTEZ CEPHUS WAS SO CLOSE 😳
— FanDuel (@FanDuel) September 21, 2021
(via @NFLBrasil)pic.twitter.com/m38ngkZou3
Quintez Cephus has proven to be the number one in Detroit, this week though he’ll have to play against one of the better cover corners in the game, Marlon Humphrey. Cephus has been off to a great start scoring 2 TDs on 7 receptions. Though I like his long-term compatibility with this Lions offense I think he’ll be held in check on Sunday. My prediction is 2-3 receptions for 20 yards.
Tight Ends
Starts
Dallas Goedert vs Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Goedert much like this entire Eagles offense has a huge question mark around their consistency. Week 1 Goedert looked like the alpha tight end in the offense reeling in four of his five targets and scoring a TD. During Week 2, there was a different narrative as the offense struggled to get the ball into its playmaker’s hands, Goedert caught both of his two targets for 24 yards. The question this week is which Goedert do we get? Either way, the bright side is his snap share did not drop significantly last week from 66 to 63 percent. My prediction is we see more of the Week 1 Goedert this week, 4 receptions, 60 yards, and a TD
Noah Fant vs New York Jets
That’s how you start the second half. 👊@nrfant | 📺: CBS pic.twitter.com/yn7bOQOOb1
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) September 19, 2021
Noah Fant looks good so far this year, with 10 receptions, 95 yards, and a TD. One thing that is standing out in 2021 as opposed to past years is his involvement in the red zone. So far Fant has four targets in the red zone and should be poised for more this season. This Jets defense is relatively weak and should be considered exploitable for the former Iowa alum. my prediction is 4 receptions for 50 yards and 1-2 TD.
Sits
Logan Thomas vs Buffalo Bills
Logan Thomas draws a tough matchup this week going against the Bills defense that has allowed the 2nd least amount of receiving yards in 2021 (370). Though this is mostly given the circumstances around last week’s Dolphins game. Nonetheless, Thomas will be playing a highly athletic linebacking core who can cover the tight end. My prediction is Thomas has a tough game, with 2 receptions, 15-30 yards.
Robert Tonyan vs San Francisco 49ers
Robert Tonyan is coming off a good game and as well as a week on my Start and Sits: Week 2 article. This week he draws a surprisingly good 49er secondary that kept the Eagles’ tight ends in check. I’m thinking this won’t be a “TD Tonyan” day, my prediction is 4 receptions for 25 yards.
Conclusion
Week 3 is here and that means it’s time for the Belly Up’s starts and sits article. We’re here to give you our best insight on this week’s game and to hopefully help continue your fantasy success. We hope you guys take our starts and sits advice and can optimize your lineup for success. Looking forward to continuing to give you more starts and sits articles in the future. Hope everyone has a great week 3 and let’s get those lineups in and rack up those W’s.
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