Saturday, May 18, 2024

Betting, Featured, Gambling

Sunday Seven: My Bets for Week 12

As the NFL deals with the outbreaks of COVID-19 and we as fans wonder how the season will finish, we notice that Week 12 has already begun and Sunday is not far behind. The Ravens and Steelers might not play their Week 12 game and other games could be canceled but here are my Sunday Sevens. Hopefully, the week goes by and there isn’t many issues but we only hope for the best.

Favorite: (-6) Saints versus Broncos

The line has to be this close only because the game is in Denver (the home team usually get three points by default). The Saints have been one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning their last seven games. The Broncos are one of the Jekyll-Hyde teams in the NFL being good one week and awful the next. Expect the Saints to win and win handily, maybe by double digits.

Underdog: (+3) Panthers versus Vikings

There aren’t many Underdog matchups that seem appealing in Week 12. The Panthers feel like the go-to Underdog for the season as they can win any game and are sneaky good at times. The Vikings are coming off a surprise loss to the Cowboys which should indicate a bounce-back game. The Panthers are coming off a shocking 20-0 victory against the Detroit Lions without their starting quarterback or running back. It’s hard to know if the Panthers are going to fall back to earth this week but as an Underdog to a Vikings team that isn’t good defensively and inconsistent on offense. Take Carolina with the three points.

Over: Packers versus Bears (45.5)

This total has to be surprising. The Packers played in a 34-31 shootout last week yet the total would make you think that this game will be a defensive struggle. Granted the Bears haven’t looked good at all in recent games and the offense has fallen off a cliff since their 5-1 start to the season. This total will go Over solely on the Packers, their offense has been unstoppable at times and the defense has been good in the clutch but not for entire games. The Packers might score 30 or more themselves while the Bears should also do their part. Expect the Over to cover.

Under: Chargers versus Bills (53)

Both offenses have been playing incredibly this season, with the Bills scoring 27.2 points per game and the Chargers scoring 26 points per game. Both teams have young, promising quarterbacks and systems that allow them to maximize their abilities. However, the total feels too high for comfort and there are many reasons to believe the total will go Under. It’s important to keep in mind that the game is going to be in Buffalo, while the weather isn’t expected to be terrible, it could be a reason to indicate Justin Herbert won’t feel comfortable. Another thing to keep in mind is the inconsistency of Josh Allen, who had a great game two weeks ago but can play terribly against any given opponent. Expect the Under to cover but only by a few points.

Money line: Titans versus Colts

This game has progressed into a pick ’em game. The Colts beat the Titans on Thursday Night Football less than 18 days ago but they won’t have Deforest Buckner for the game and there is the anticipation of a better game from the Titans this week. The Titans were embarrassed at home against the Colts and will game plan accordingly for the rematch. Expect the Titans to rely heavily on Derrick Henry as they have for most of their victories and give Ryan Tannehill easy reads when he does have to throw (not putting him in obvious passing downs either). In a game that can go either way, the Titans should even the series and make betting the money line on them a viable choice.

Alternate Spread: (-6.5) Raiders versus Falcons

The Raiders are favored by 3.5 points but the assumption should be that they will win handily against the Falcons. The Raiders played one of their best games of the season last week against the Kansas City Chiefs and despite losing, they proved that they can beat anyone. The Falcons are known to win late-season games and play better in the second half of the season than the first, but their roster is far inferior to the juggernaut of the Raiders. Expect the Raiders to win by a touchdown or more despite the Week 12 game taking place in Atlanta.

Player Prop: Alvin Kamara Over 31.5 Receiving Yards

Considering how Kamara has played this season, this is a low number for his receiving yards. It’s explainable when you consider Taysom Hill is now the quarterback and instead of targeting Kamara, he would tuck the ball and run. Expect Hill to target the best player on the field. Kamara doesn’t need many receptions to cover this total. Expect Kamara to be targeted more and make big plays in the process.

The odds are via vegasinsider.com and are subject to change.

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