Thursday, May 02, 2024

Betting, Fantasy Football, Gambling

TNF Betting and Fantasy Football Preview Titans vs Steelers

In this article, we will analyze the critical fantasy players for the TNF matchup and provide insights into their recent performance, player props, and betting recommendations.

Game Lines and Trends:

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans are set to clash in what promises to be an evenly matched game with both teams sporting a 4-3 record against the spread (ATS) this year. However, when evaluating their performance, it’s clear that the Titans only having played in 2 games on the over, and the Steelers with just one all season, the under becomes the favorite bet.

Quarterbacks: Kenny Pickett and Will Levis

1. Kenny Pickett:

While Pickett, my QB19, has exceeded the passing yardage mark of 212.5 in most games this season, he has only managed to score more than one passing touchdown once in a single game. Considering that the Titans have allowed the third-lowest number of passing touchdowns, it is advisable to take the under on Pickett’s touchdown prop.

2. Will Levis:

With limited data to assess Levis’s performance, my QB16, it is recommended to wait and see how he fares against a strong defense on the road before making any wagers or relying on him for fantasy football purposes.

Running Backs: Derrick HenryNajee Harris, Jaylen Warren, and Tyjae Spears

1. Derrick Henry:

Before rushing to bet on the over for Henry’s rushing yards at 72.5, my RB9, keep in mind that Cam Heyward, an exceptional run-stopper, is expected to return to the Steelers defense. It is prudent to avoid placing a bet on this prop.

2. Najee Harris:

Harris, my RB26, has shown inconsistent efficiency and usage based on the game script. He is a low-ceiling flex option and may struggle to surpass his rushing yardage prop of 44.5 against a Titans defense that allows the 12th fewest rushing yards to running backs.

3. Jaylen Warren:

While Warren, my RB36, has exceeded his receiving yardage prop of 18.5 in most games. However, his matchup against a tough defense offers little upside, making him an unfavorable option.

4. Tyjae Spears:

Spears, my RB49, has surpassed his rushing yardage prop of 19.5 in all but two games this season, making him a potentially valuable option for bettors.

Wide Receivers: Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, Treylon Burks, and DeAndre Hopkins

1. Diontae Johnson:

Johnson, my WR22, has performed well since his return from injury and has consistently surpassed his receiving yardage prop of 58.5. Facing a Titans defense that allows a significant number of receiving yards to wide receivers, Johnson presents a strong option for betting and fantasy purposes. Take the over on his 4.5 receptions total too.

2. George Pickens:

With Pickett potentially hampered by injury, it is uncertain whether he will take enough shots downfield to connect with Pickens, my WR29. Moreover, Johnson has seen more targets (20) than Pickens (13) since his return.

3. DeAndre Hopkins:

Hopkins, my WR28, has generally exceeded his reception prop of 52.5, but it is advised to wait for more data and see if last week’s performance with Levis was an outlier or a consistent trend before considering him a top 24 fantasy wide receiver.

4. Treylon Burks:

Despite a standout showing by Levis in last week’s game, Burks, my WR66 struggled to make an impact. It is recommended to take the under on his receiving yardage prop of 24.5.

Tight Ends: Chig Okonkwo

1. Chig Okonkwo:

Although Okonkwo, my TE19, saw increased usage last week, the resulting yardage did not reflect a significant impact. It would be wise to avoid placing bets on him this week.

For more content from Dan Mader, host of the MD’s Fantasy Football Show, visit the youtube channel, or get the edge by viewing his industry-accurate rankings here.