Friday, May 03, 2024

Fantasy Football

Ceilings and Floors: New York Jets

This is the fourth of 32 Ceilings and Floors, covering each NFL team’s QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs. We finish up the AFC East with the New York Jets. In case you missed it, here is the breakdown for the New England Patriots(Depth Charts courtesy of footballguys.com)

Ceilings and Floors: Quarterback

QB1: Sam Darnold

CEILING: The Jets finally protect Darnold, and he puts everything together, throwing for 33 TDs and 4,000 yards, emerging as the franchise QB the Jets drafted him to be.

FLOOR: Darnold just doesn’t have it, Jets fans riot and James Morgan gets an opportunity to prove he can take sacks and throw to defenders as well as Darnold can.

PREDICTION: I’m not high on Sammy. I don’t really like the situation and think Darnold underperforms again, putting his future as the starting QB in real danger. Still, he is absolutely worth a flier, because the potential is there. I foresee 3,200 yards, and 26 TDs.

QB2: James Morgan

CEILING: Even if Darnold struggles, it will probably take an injury for Morgan to see the field. When he does, he struggles but shows enough promise to be given a roster spot in 2021.

FLOOR: He never sees the field, His senior year regression proves to be a trend, and the Jets replace him in a year’s time.

PREDICTION: In dynasty, he is worth a flier, but in seasonal leagues, he remains a free agent. He is on a bad team with minimal upside.

QB3: David Fales

CEILING: Non existent.

FLOOR: Reality.

PREDICTION: He gets confused with Nick Foles and moves to Philadelphia, where he opens a cheesesteak restaurant called Fales’ Super Cheesesteaks. Philly fans believe he took them to the Super Bowl, and he lives happily ever after.

QB4: Mike White

CEILING: He butt-fumbles in practice, earning himself a place in Jets lore forever.

FLOOR: It really is too bad about the XFL, isn’t it Mr. White?

PREDICTION: Please butt-fumble, and I will be nicer to you next year when I do the high school football coach version of this series.

Ceilings and Floors: Running Back

RB1: Le’Veon Bell

CEILING: Bell remembers how to play football, his line actually blocks for him, and he wins comeback player of the year with a 14 TD, 2,000 all-purpose yard monster season.

FLOOR: He smokes weed with Willy, or holds out again, and becomes a legend in strip clubs throughout New York.

PREDICTION: I see a serviceable yea., 9 total TDs, 1,300 total yards, and just enough production to keep his job one more year.

RB2: Frank Gore

CEILING: Bell holds out, Gore steps in and produces a modest 5 TDs along with 700 rush yards.

FLOOR: He does what he has been doing since he entered the twilight of his prime, getting 2 TDs, churning out the tough yards, but remains fantasy irrelevant.

PREDICTION: Leaning towards the low. Gore is still a solid NFL player for his age, and his experience and presence in the locker room will benefit the Jets, but his fantasy football days are over.

RB3: La’Mical Perine

CEILING: 6 TDs, 800 yards, and buzz about him starting in 2021 dominates the New York media after he replaces two has-beens.

FLOOR: He doesn’t really play on offense.

PREDICTION: I can’t envision him seeing the field much, considering Gore is the superior pass blocker, and he is more of a draft and stash candidate in dynasty with a limited ceiling.

RB4: Kenneth Dixon, RB5: Josh Adams, RB6: Trenton Cannon

CEILING: One of these guys emerges due to necessity because Bell has lost it, Gore is too old, and Perine doesn’t produce. They still aren’t great, finishing with low-end fantasy stats.

FLOOR: All three of these guys won’t make the roster, and the ones who do, do not deserve a roster spot in any leagues.

PREDICTION: Zero fantasy points combined. Lots of crow for anyone with them on their roster.

Ceilings and Floors: Wide Receiver

Ceilings and Floors
WR1: Jamison Crowder

CEILING: Crowder has a consistent season, with 1,000 yards receiving and 7 TDs.

FLOOR: Crowder drops down the depth chart for more promising, higher ceiling options and settles as the Jets WR3, offering little in terms of stats that count.

PREDICTION: I like Crowder as a flex depth piece, but he isn’t moving the needle much for me. He has proven he can be a quality option at WR, though he is best suited as the secondary option.

WR2: Breshad Perriman

CEILING: Perriman builds on his surge last year, catching 8 TDs and recording 900 yards receiving.

FLOOR: Perriman reverts to his old self, which was a disappointing bust who couldn’t stay healthy and never lived up to the potential.

PREDICTION: I expect something between his high and low, with Perriman emerging as a solid contributor and depth flex option. His size and skill still excite me.

WR3: Denzel Mims
Ceilings and Floors

CEILING: Mims wins Rookie of the Year, catching 10 TDs, along with 1,100 receiving yards.

FLOOR: Mims never adjusts to the NFL game, and is held back by other more proven options at WR while he continues to adjust to the speed of the NFL.

PREDICTION: He has the highest ceiling of any WR on the roster, and his potential is definitely tantalizing. I just don’t think the Jets will be very good, and Mims’ production will be affected by it. 6 TDs, 800 yards is where I have him.

WR4: Vyncint Smith

CEILING: I can’t justify anything reasonable as far as fantasy stats go for Smith.

FLOOR: He drops down the depth chart, and never sees the field.

PREDICTION: He isn’t going to play very much.

WR5: Josh Doctson

CEILING: Doctson stays healthy, and becomes a solid third option for the Jets, logging 6 TDs and 600 yards.

FLOOR: Doctson still doesn’t live up to his pre-draft hype, and never sees the field.

PREDICTION: I was so high on Doctson coming out of TCU, regardless of the potential question marks. Being realistic, I think he isn’t long for the league.

WR6: Braxton Berrios, WR7: Quincy Enunwa, WR8: Josh Bellamy

CEILING: Berrios and Enunwa have been ruled out for 2020. Berrios has 2 TDs and 350 yards. Yes, this is the ceiling section.

FLOOR: All three of these NFL existences dwell solely on Pro Football Reference.

PREDICTION: Bellamy sees the field, but doesn’t do much with the time. The other two are already ruled out for 2020.

Ceilings and Floors: Tight End

Ceilings and Floors
TE1: Chris Herndon

CEILING: Herndon improves upon his promising rookie campaign, and hauls in 9 TDs to go along with 800 yards receiving.

FLOOR: Herndon doesn’t fully recover from his injury, and becomes a streaming option for fantasy owners.

PREDICTION: His potential is real, and I suspect he has a solid year with 6 TDs and 700 yards receiving. He should be considered a high-end TE2.

TE2: Ryan Griffin

CEILING: Griffin replicates his TD output from 2019 with 5 TDs but adds 600 yards receiving to move up to TE1.

FLOOR: Griffin performs more in line with his career stats, and is a fantasy afterthought.

PREDICTION: Don’t fool yourself, he is a streaming option if Herndon goes down at most.

TE3: Trevon Wesco, TE4: Daniel Brown

CEILING: Wesco plays fullback, like usual, and records no meaningful stats. Brown catches eight passes.

FLOOR: New York signs a fullback, and Wesco is relegated to blocking only. Brown signs a contract with UPS and learns all about what he can do for you.

PREDICTION: Wesco keeps a roster spot as a utility blocker, and Brown signs with FedEx after copyright issues arise.

Enjoy this article? Follow me on Twitter to get updates when new content is released @realryanhicks, including the rest of my Ceilings and Floors. Up next we move to the AFC North, and the Baltimore Ravens. Also check out what else Belly Up Fantasy is cooking up, and follow @BellyUpFantasy for all your Fantasy Sports needs.