Monday, December 23, 2024

Fantasy Football

Ceilings and Floors, Seattle Seahawks

This is the 32nd and last of my Ceilings and Floors, covering each NFL team’s QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs. We finish the series and the NFC West with The Seattle Seahawks. In case you missed it, here is the breakdown for the San Francisco 49ers. (Depth Charts courtesy of footballguys.com)

Ceilings and Floors: Quarterback

QB1: Russell Wilson

CEILING: For three straight years, and 4 of the last 5, Wilson has thrown for over 30 TDs. He has a 64.5 career completion percentage. Over the last two years, he has a 66:12 TD:INT ratio. He also averages 502 scrimmage yards and 2.5 rushing/receiving TDs per year during his eight-year career. Wilson is elite. And has never missed a single game. 40 TDs and 4.600 yards passing, along with 800 yards and 7 TDs rushing. MV freaking P.

FLOOR: 27 TDs, 3,500 yards. Wilson offers the safest floor in the NFL. Don’t forget his 300 yards rushing and 1 TD.

PREDICTION: Draft him with confidence. He will play, he will perform, and he will still be with Ciara. 34 TDs, 4,200 yards. 3 rushing TDs along with 400 yards.

QB2: Anthony Gordon

CEILING: Handcuff for Wilson. Wilson is not missing games. Gordon hosts game watching parties in a Seattle coffee shop.

FLOOR: Gordon never sees the field, and never dates a celebrity.

PREDICTION: His ceilings and floors look kinda identical to me. Wilson runs Seattle, Gordon runs from the first-team defense while he gets scout team reps. Zero stats.

Ceilings and Floors: Running Back

Ceilings and Floors
RB1: Chris Carson

CEILING: Carson has averaged 9 total TDs and 1,405 total yards the last two years while playing 29 of a possible 32 games. Seattle loves to run. Carson is the guy. He also boasts a career 81 percent catch rate. 14 TDs, 1,800 total yards.

FLOOR: Injuries are the only way he scores less than 7 total TDs and gains less than 1,000 total yards.

PREDICTION: Carson is a true RB1, who somehow blends in among the borderline RB1’s. His production is undeniable, his situation is optimal, and he is 26. 11 TDs, 1,500 total yards. Criminally underrated in 2021 once again.

RB2: Rashaad Penny

CEILING: Penny isn’t playing 16 games, but his 5.3 yards per carry, along with his 73.9 catch percentage, make him an interchangeable asset with Carson. He records 8 total TDs along with 900 yards, extrapolated to 16 games.

FLOOR: Penny never recovers fully from his injury, and only scores 2 TDs along with 300 yards.

PREDICTION: Penny is talented. Penny gets hurt. Find a Penny, pick him up, all the day you’ll have good luck. 4 TDs, 500 yards. Dynasty value is higher than redraft.

RB3: Travis Homer

CEILING: 6.3 yards per attempt is good. If both guys above him simultaneously miss time, Homer could excel. 6 total TDs, 800 yards.

FLOOR: Homer is RB4, he is passed by the rook, and he never sees any real touches. 0 TDs, 50 yards.

PREDICTION: Homer might have potential, but he is not getting any touches. Dallas ends up passing him.

RB4: DeeJay Dallas

CEILING: His college career 5.8 yards per rush translates to the NFL, the top two guys go down, and he beats out Homer, scoring 8 total TDs along with 900 yards.

FLOOR: He does not play offensively his rookie year.

PREDICTION: Dallas has dynasty potential, but his redraft outlook is bleak. Multiple injuries are necessary for any relevance, and Carson has only missed three games in the past two years. Expect nothing this year.

Ceilings and Floors: Wide Receiver

Ceilings and Floors
WR1: Tyler Lockett

CEILING: Lockett scores 11 TDs along with 1,200 yards. He continues his chemistry with Wilson, and once again outperforms his ADP.

FLOOR: Lockett scores 6 TDs along with 700 yards. It would take some weird stuff for his numbers to be this low, like Wilson being dumped type of weird.

PREDICTION: Lockett scores 8 TDs along with 1,000 yards. He had his best two career catch percentages the last two years, and Metcalf alleviates some of the defensive pressure.

WR2: D.K. Metcalf

CEILING: Seattle’s WR1, Metcalf builds on an impressive rookie campaign, 15.2 yards per touch in 2019 is good, especially for a rookie. Another year with Wilson and the offense lets him take the next step to stardom, and he scores 12 TDs along with 1,500 yards receiving.

FLOOR: Metcalf scores 4 TDs along with 700 yards, Metcalf regresses, and Lockett goes off at his expense. But I would bet hard against this.

PREDICTION: Metcalf is really good. 9 TDs, 1,200 yards good. He is the WR1 here for fantasy purposes.

WR3: David Moore

CEILING: Career 17.3 yard per catch average. Nearly a 1 in 6 TD to catch ratio. 6 TDs, 800 yards. injuries above him necessary for this.

FLOOR: 3 TDs, 400 yards. Multiple sneaky trades convincing unsuspecting owners they are getting D.J. Moore

PREDICTION: Moore enjoys the attention the other two get, and capitalizes with 4 TDs along with 500 yards.

WR4: Phillip Dorsett

CEILING: Dorsett performs admirably as a reserve, catching 4 TDs along with 500 yards. I hate this guy, so his ceiling might actually be higher.

FLOOR: He sucks, as per usual, he is a huge draft bust, and records 0 TDs along with171 yards receiving.

PREDICTION: Dorsett may have a big game. But his overall stats will disappoint because he is not that good. 2 TDs, 400 yards.

WR5: Malik Turner, WR6: John Ursua, WR7: Freddie Swain, WR8: Aaron Fuller

CEILING: Background dancers in Ciara’s new video for her song, “My man didn’t even draft you in his league”. Gets as high as 12th on the charts, which causes Seattle fans to invent 12 new conspiracies about them.

FLOOR: Background dancers in Ciara’s actual videos refuse to share their numbers with them. Good thing I will share their numbers, in case any of you boogie ladies are reading. 0 TDs, 50 yards among them all. Call me cupid.

PREDICTION: No marriages are coming outta this, or numbers. I don’t even like these guys in dynasty much. Maybe they can dance though. 0 TDs, 100 yards, 12 dance lessons.

Ceilings and Floors: Tight End

Ceilings and Floors
TE1: Greg Olsen

CEILING: Olsen finds some juice left, scores 7 TDs along with 900 yards, and stays healthy. Maybe his ceiling is just staying healthy. And I find it unlikely.

FLOOR: Olsen is injured again. Or he never comes back fully from his countless foot issues. 1 TD, 300 yards. Guest appearance on “Fuller House”

PREDICTION: He is not related to Mary Kate, Ashley, or The Scarlet Witch. 4 TDs, 400 yards, less than 16 games.

TE2: Will Dissly

CEILING: Dissly stays healthy, wins TE1, and scores 10 TDs along with 800 yards, He has 6 TDs in 10 career games, and a 13.5 yards per catch career average. He isn’t playing 16 either, though.

FLOOR: He playszero games, and because of this, records zero stats.

PREDICTION: Dissly has not played in 22 games in the last two seasons. His per game numbers impress, but injuries affect everything. I see 3 TDs, 300 yards, less than 16 games played.

TE3: Jacob Hollister

CEILING: 5 TDs, 400 yards, while filling in for injured TEs.

FLOOR: No stats, Parkinson passes him, his career 9 yards per catch leaves me wanting more.

PREDICTION: He averaged 8.5 yards per catch in his lone year in Seattle, where he got touches because of injuries. He will get some again, but I see 0 TD and 100 yards.

TE4: Colby Parkinson

CEILING: Dynasty alert. Parkinson has a real path to TE1 here in the future, but in 2020, he has a path to TE3. Which could mean touches with the injury history of Olsen and Dissly. 4 TDs, 500 yards.

FLOOR: Somehow, the TEs above him play 16 games. Parkinson is relegated to special teams.

PREDICTION: Dynasty target to tie with Wilson when the guys above him retire/wind up on IR. But in 2020? 2 TDs, 200 yards.

TE5: Luke Willson, TE6: Stephen Sullivan, TE7: Dominick Wood-Anderson

CEILING: Claiming it is possible any of these guys achieve fantasy relevance… I won’t do it. But a slew of injures could mean 1 TD, 200 yards between them.

FLOOR: Willson returns to acting, and the other two watch Old School on repeat.

PREDICTION: Zero stats. Old School 2 is gonna be epic.

Enjoy this article? Follow me on Twitter to get updates when new content is released @realryanhicks, Thank you for reading my Ceilings and Floors series. It has been a fun ride. Check out what else Belly Up Fantasy is cooking up, and follow @BellyUpFantasy for all your Fantasy Sports needs.